Result
2:1
08/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 21
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/443) | 82% (315/386) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (366/443) | 82% (315/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (35/70) | 46% (19/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (78/110) | 60% (60/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Bubanja V. 🟨,
- 10', 1 - 0, Vuk M. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 17', Skaricic L. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Bubanja V. ⚽,
- 32', Hasic E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Akere S. 🟨,
- 61', Omerovic N. 🟨,
- 61', Mikolcic S. ↓, Barisic B. ↑,
- 62', Tavares I. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
- 62', Marina M. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Mamut I. ⚽, Canjuga I. (A),
- 68', Omerovic N. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 69', Teklic T. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
- 77', Ilinkovic S. 🟨,
- 78', Latkovic A. ↓, Bockaj P. ↑,
- 78', Borsic A. ↓, Sikosek G. ↑,
- 83', Matkovic A. ↓, Dedic J. ↑,
- 83', Mersinaj J. ↓, Renan Guedes ↑,
- 85', Mladenovski M. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 90+1', Bockaj P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Varaždin
39.6% | Draw
31.2% | Osijek
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Varaždin - Osijek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.26) |
3.02 ↑
(2.82) |
3.24 ↓
(3.64) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Varaždin - Osijek?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Varaždin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Osijek will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Osijek (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Varaždin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Varaždin (votes: 3 - 75%). Osijek (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 2.
- Varaždin is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Osijek has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Varaždin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of home games.
- Varaždin might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Varaždin: Mamic L.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Osijek: Jelenic L.
(Yellow Cards)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varaždin won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varaždin won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Osijek?
Varaždin has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Varaždin?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varaždin - Osijek were as follows:
03.12.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
02.11.2025
Osijek
-
Varaždin
0:0
17.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
17.05.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
15.12.2024
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
