Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Vukancic I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 73% | 27% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (519/585) | 61% (128/209) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (519/585) | 61% (128/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 31% (19/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (124/160) | 60% (31/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Tavares I. ⚽, Latkovic A. (A),
- 27', Mamic L. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 2, Tavares I. ⚽, Maglica F. (A),
- 33', Akere S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matkovic A. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
- 46', Jelenic L. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
- 46', Mamic L. ↓, Duvnjak T. ↑,
- 47', Sikosek G. 🟨,
- 53', Vuk M. ↓, Tepsic N. ↑,
- 60', Duvnjak T. 🟨,
- 61', Omerovic N. ↓, Barisic B. ↑,
- 61', Mejia Moscoso D. M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 63', Kolarik I. 🟨,
- 67', Latkovic A. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
- 67', Puclin D. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
- 76', Kolarik I. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 82', Puncec R. ↓, Barac M. ↑,
- 85', Canjuga I. 🟨,
- 90', Mladenovski M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
42.2% | Draw
30.1% | Varaždin
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Varaždin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Osijek - Varaždin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.2) |
3.1 ↓
(3.13) |
3.41 ↑
(3.2) |
6.6%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Varaždin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Varaždin will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Varaždin: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Osijek has had a series of away games.
- Osijek could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Barisic B.
(Knock)
Jurisic R.
(Inactive)
Karacic F.
(Inactive)
Shopov S.
(Knee Injury)
Toure Y.
(Inactive)
Vrbancic L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Varaždin: Juric S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Osijek: Kolarik I.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Varaždin?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varaždin won against Osijek?
Varaždin has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Varaždin were as follows:
08.02.2026
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
03.12.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
02.11.2025
Osijek
-
Varaždin
0:0
17.08.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
0:0
17.05.2025
Varaždin
-
Osijek
2:1
Latest results of Varaždin
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 85:26 | 59 | 76 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 51:29 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 38:47 | -9 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:45 | -20 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:62 | -29 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
