Result
0:3
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Disanto F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 2, Sabelli P. ⚽,
- 81', 0 - 3, Marzierli E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montevarchi
18.5% | Draw
29.2% | Grosseto
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grosseto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevarchi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montevarchi - Grosseto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↓
(6.64) |
3.11 ↓
(4.08) |
1.73 ↑
(1.42) |
10.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevarchi won against Grosseto?
Montevarchi has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grosseto won against Montevarchi?
Grosseto has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Grosseto were as follows:
20.09.2025
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
3:1
19.04.2025
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
1:1
08.12.2024
Montevarchi
-
Grosseto
1:2
21.12.2023
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
2:2
Latest results of Montevarchi
Latest results of Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Seravezza Pozzi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Tau | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41:22 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Siena | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:20 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | Terranuova Traiana | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 42 |
| 6 | Prato | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Foligno | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 36 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 23:29 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Ghiviborgo | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Trestina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | San Donato | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Camaiore | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:37 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Cannara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17:51 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
