Result
0:3
18/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Disanto F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 0 - 2, Sabelli P. ⚽,
- 81', 0 - 3, Marzierli E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montevarchi
18.5% | Draw
29.2% | Grosseto
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grosseto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montevarchi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montevarchi - Grosseto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.9 ↓
(6.64) |
3.11 ↓
(4.08) |
1.73 ↑
(1.42) |
10.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 0.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Montevarchi won against Grosseto?
Montevarchi has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grosseto won against Montevarchi?
Grosseto has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Grosseto were as follows:
20.09.2025
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
3:1
19.04.2025
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
1:1
08.12.2024
Montevarchi
-
Grosseto
1:2
21.12.2023
Grosseto
-
Montevarchi
2:2
Latest results of Montevarchi
Latest results of Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto ✔ | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau ✔ | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 51:32 | 19 | 60 |
| 3 | Prato ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 48:29 | 19 | 60 |
| 4 | Siena ✔ | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 22 | 59 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi ✔ | 33 | 15 | 11 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 56 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 50 |
| 7 | Scandicci | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
| 8 | Foligno | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 44:37 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 33 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 28:31 | -3 | 46 |
| 10 | Trestina | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 36:38 | -2 | 41 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 | San Donato | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 37 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore ✔ | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 28:46 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Cannara | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere ✔ | 33 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Tau is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
Prato is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
Siena is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
Seravezza Pozzi is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs )
Camaiore is Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out )
Vivi Altotevere is Relegated to
