Montevarchi vs Foligno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Montevarchi
33.1%
Draw
29.8%
Foligno
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 26.4% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Montevarchi - Foligno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.44)
    3.02
    (3.43)
    2.43
    (2.46)
    10.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Foligno were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Foligno - Montevarchi 4:2
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    Latest results of Foligno
    21.12.2025 Cannara - Foligno 2:4
    14.12.2025 Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi 1:1
    30.11.2025 Prato - Foligno 3:1
    23.11.2025 Foligno - Ghiviborgo 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto ✔ 31216455:223369
    2Tau31168748:301856
    3Siena31167848:291955
    4Seravezza Pozzi311510641:271455
    5Prato31175945:291654
    6Scandicci311114637:271047
    7Foligno311381044:36847
    8Terranuova Traiana311381024:26-247
    9Montevarchi31915727:31-442
    10Trestina3110101135:35040
    11Ghiviborgo319101241:40137
    12Camaiore31971538:47-934
    13Follonica Gavorrano318101332:45-1334
    14San Donato317121226:34-833
    15Orvietana317101429:35-631
    16Poggibonsi31691626:43-1727
    17Cannara31571920:55-3522
    18Vivi Altotevere312141517:42-2520

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for