Montevarchi vs Foligno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Montevarchi
33.1%
Draw
29.8%
Foligno
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.3% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 26.4% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Montevarchi - Foligno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.44)
    3.02
    (3.43)
    2.43
    (2.46)
    10.9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevarchi - Foligno were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Foligno - Montevarchi 4:2
    Latest results of Montevarchi
    Latest results of Foligno
    21.12.2025 Cannara - Foligno 2:4
    14.12.2025 Foligno - Seravezza Pozzi 1:1
    30.11.2025 Prato - Foligno 3:1
    23.11.2025 Foligno - Ghiviborgo 1:1
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto34226658:253372
    2Tau34189753:332063
    3Prato34205949:292063
    4Siena34179857:352260
    5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:291357
    6Terranuova Traiana341491128:30-251
    7Foligno341491145:37851
    8Scandicci341115839:32748
    9Montevarchi341016828:32-446
    10Trestina3410121240:42-242
    11San Donato349131230:35-540
    12Ghiviborgo3410101442:44-240
    13Orvietana349111433:37-438
    14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:49-1337
    15Camaiore34981741:54-1335
    16Poggibonsi347101729:46-1731
    17Cannara34682024:59-3526
    18Vivi Altotevere342161620:46-2622

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation