Result
2:2
12/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (138/198) | 86% (409/478) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (138/198) | 86% (409/478) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/55) | 51% (31/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (30/68) | 71% (110/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 39% (9/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Ganoza M. 🟥,
- 20', Ramirez D. ↓, Leon Canchanya B. H. ↑,
- 25', 1 - 0, Arakaki H. ⚽, Lucumi J. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Da Luz M. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 2, Da Luz M. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
- 57', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 2, Lucumi J. ⚽, Orue D. (A),
- 66', Orue D. 🟨,
- 77', Tamariz A. 🟥,
- 78', Arakaki H. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
- 79', de la Cruz A. ↓, Peral P. ↑,
- 79', Perez A. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
- 81', Caballero F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
- 84', Robles A. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
36.3% | Draw
29.8% | ADT Tarma
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ayacucho - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.43) |
3.14 ↓
(3.4) |
2.77 ↑
(2.75) |
6.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - ADT Tarma?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - ADT (1.93) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - ADT (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. ADT (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3).
- Recent performances by Ayacucho have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- ADT is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Ayacucho: Ataupillco J.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against ADT Tarma?
Ayacucho has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Ayacucho?
ADT Tarma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - ADT Tarma were as follows:
25.05.2025
ADT Tarma
-
Ayacucho
0:1
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
