Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense vs Confiança – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 4

Match Stats

Yellow cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 1', Maikon Aquino 🟨,
  • 19', Maikon Aquino , Sassa ,
  • 28', Breiner C. , Andrey Quintino ,
  • 32', 1 - 0, Alex Bruno ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Eduardo Moura , Joao Mandovani ,
  • 46', Lorran 🟨,
  • 64', Wandson , Jailson ,
  • 90+23', Fabricio , Iago Silva ,
  • 90+23', PH , Renilson ,
  • 90+40', Motta , Iarley ,
  • 90+42', Vitao 🟨,
  • 90+42', Joao Mandovani 🟨,
  • 90+49', 1 - 1, Mateus Ludke ,

Chances of winning


Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
37.2%
Draw
33.1%
Confiança
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 32.7% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 31.1% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.21)
    2.8
    (2.78)
    3.07
    (3.5)
    9.6%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • ASA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • ASA will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança 1:1
    27.12.2023 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Confiança 1:0
    Latest results of Confiança
    12.04.2026 Caxias - Confiança 1:0
    09.04.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:1
    05.04.2026 Confiança - Amazonas 0:1
    26.03.2026 Sousa - Confiança 4:1
    Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria531114:8610
    2ASA52307:439
    3Sousa52128:717
    4Fluminense-PI51314:406
    5Itabaiana50324:8-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Confianca52217:708
    2Juazeirense51318:806
    3Botafogo PB51318:9-16
    4CRB51225:6-15
    5Piaui51133:7-44


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Recife ✔ 540111:3812
    2Ceara531111:6510
    3Ferroviario52126:8-27
    4America RN51224:6-25
    5Imperatriz51134:7-34


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC531111:4710
    2Fortaleza53116:4210
    3Retro53117:6110
    4Jacuipense50142:8-61
    5Maranhao50144:14-101

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