Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Result
7:4
31/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
1613
Errors
00
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
74
Base on Balls
12
Strikeouts
113
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3837
Batting Average
0.4210.351

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
47.6%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 50.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.02)

    1.83
    (1.86)
    4.6%
    (3.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 3.
    • Tokyo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 56:55. (average 2.8:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 3.4:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 5:4
    29.08.2025 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2:4
    17.08.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 2:7
    16.08.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 5:3
    15.08.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1:2
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers12979347440:3050.627
    2Yomiuri Giants12963363405:3960.500
    3Yokohama BayStars12961563435:4080.492
    4Hiroshima Carp12956568403:4260.452
    5Chunichi Dragons12957270368:4160.449
    6Yakult Swallows12547672367:5040.395


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks12675447479:3520.615
    2Nippon Ham Fighters12874351488:3560.592
    3Orix Buffaloes12564358441:4630.525
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles12459263393:4480.484
    5Seibu Lions12457364342:3760.471
    6Chiba Lotte Marines12548374386:4970.393

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)