Lecce vs Cagliari – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoDisney+
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.992.24
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
84% (317/377)81% (285/352)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.992.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.042.67
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
813
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
1829
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
84% (317/377)81% (285/352)
Long passes
57% (26/46)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
72% (70/97)67% (55/82)
Crosses
47% (7/15)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.820.95
Throw-ins
2415
Fouls
1019
Tackles
41% (7/17)40% (8/20)
Duels won
5949
Clearances
2516
Interceptions
29
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.671.04
Goals prevented
0.670.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Tiago Gabriel , Sottil R. (A),
  • 20', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,
  • 27', Coulibaly L. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Belotti A. , Palestra M. (A),
  • 45+1', Esposito Se. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gallo A. , Ndaba C. ,
  • 46', Sala A. , Kaba M. ,
  • 58', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 60', Esposito Se. , Gaetano G. ,
  • 60', Prati M. , Felici M. ,
  • 61', Sottil R. , Tete Morente ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Belotti A. (Pen),
  • 72', Belotti A. , Kilicsoy S. ,
  • 73', Adopo M. , Zappa G. ,
  • 73', Ramadani Y. , Camarda F. ,
  • 80', Pierotti S. , Ndri K. ,
  • 86', Deiola A. , Mazzitelli L. ,
  • 89', Obert A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
14.5%
Draw
34.1%
Cagliari
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 31.6% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 33.7% 36.3%

Lecce - Cagliari Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
10.29
(2.78)
4.04
(3.01)
2.5
(2.79)
-25.5%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lecce - Cagliari?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 9 - 26.5%). Cagliari will win (votes: 5 - 14.7%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.3%75.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Thigh Injury) Radunovic B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Kaba M. (Thigh Injury) Pierret B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Cagliari were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Cagliari - Lecce 4:1
    31.08.2024 Lecce - Cagliari 1:0
    05.05.2024 Cagliari - Lecce 1:1
    06.01.2024 Lecce - Cagliari 1:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    09.08.2025 Monopoli - Lecce 2:2
    Latest results of Cagliari
    13.09.2025 Cagliari - Parma 2:0
    30.08.2025 Napoli - Cagliari 1:0
    24.08.2025 Cagliari - Fiorentina 1:1
    16.08.2025 Cagliari - Virtus Entella 2:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter19141442:172543
    2AC Milan19117130:151540
    3Napoli19123430:171339
    4Juventus20116332:161639
    5AS Roma20130724:121239
    6Como1997327:131434
    7Atalanta2087525:19631
    8Lazio2077621:16528
    9Bologna1976626:20627
    10Udinese2075822:32-1026
    11Sassuolo2065923:27-423
    12Torino2065921:32-1123
    13Cremonese2057820:28-822
    14Parma1956814:22-821
    15Genoa2047922:29-719
    16Cagliari2047921:30-919
    17Lecce19451013:27-1417
    18Fiorentina20281021:31-1014
    19Verona19271015:31-1613
    20Pisa20110915:30-1513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B