Badajoz vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 0, ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Badajoz
68.3%
Draw
20.9%
Llerenense
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.9% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 27.3% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Badajoz's performance.
  • Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badajoz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Badajoz - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.82)
    4.81
    (3.25)
    9.32
    (4.09)
    -0.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 2.
    • Badajoz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Llerenense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Badajoz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Badajoz has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Badajoz is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Badajoz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Badajoz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Llerenense were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 2:0
    01.06.2025 Badajoz - Llerenense 1:0
    01.02.2025 Llerenense - Badajoz 1:0
    21.09.2024 Badajoz - Llerenense 3:0
    05.05.2024 Badajoz - Llerenense 2:3
    Latest results of Badajoz
    02.11.2025 Jerez - Badajoz 0:0
    25.10.2025 Pueblonuevo - Badajoz 0:3
    19.10.2025 Montijo - Badajoz 1:2
    12.10.2025 Moralo - Badajoz 1:0
    04.10.2025 Badajoz - Diocesano 3:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    01.11.2025 Llerenense - Pueblonuevo 2:0
    26.10.2025 Montijo - Llerenense 2:0
    19.10.2025 Llerenense - Moralo 0:0
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    05.10.2025 Llerenense - Villafranca 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation