Al-Ahli Doha vs Al Duhail – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
qatarQatarAl Kass Six, Shoof

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.681.17
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
79
Shots on target
35
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
13
Passes
77% (258/333)89% (552/623)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.681.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.74
Total shots
79
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
34
Blocked shots
10
Shots inside the box
46
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
926
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1610
Passes
77% (258/333)89% (552/623)
Long passes
42% (21/50)55% (36/66)
Passes in final third
64% (36/56)74% (98/133)
Crosses
25% (1/4)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.181.07
Throw ins
1623
Fouls
1016
Tackles
57% (8/14)50% (6/12)
Duels won
4136
Clearances
247
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
40
xGOT faced
0.741.49
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Vlap M. ,
  • 39', Gannan S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Mohamed M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Al Abdulla R. , Ali A. ,
  • 46', Tuta , Sabaly Y. ,
  • 46', Mohamed M. , Aymen Y. ,
  • 57', 1 - 1, Bourigeaud B. , Hamza M. (A),
  • 59', Yansane S. , Exposito E. ,
  • 61', Bourigeaud B. , Piatek K. ,
  • 68', Al Brake S. , Al Minhali G. ,
  • 74', Gannan S. , Abdelrahman Y. ,
  • 78', Reyed A. 🟨,
  • 79', Soumare B. 🟨,
  • 80', Abdelrahman Y. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Draxler J. , Reyed A. (A),
  • 84', Draxler J. , Diallo I. ,
  • 85', Mansour H. , Radwan K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Ahli Doha
23.2%
Draw
25.4%
Al Duhail
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 22.6% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 21.6% 57.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Duhail could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.01
    (4.19)
    3.66
    (4.11)
    1.82
    (1.68)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 1.
    • Al-Ahli Doha has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al Duhail is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Al Duhail is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 19:61. (average 1:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 6:26. (average 0.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail were as follows:
    21.11.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha 2:3
    02.09.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail 0:0
    08.03.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha 4:2
    19.10.2024 Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail 0:1
    07.09.2024 Al-Ahli Doha - Al Duhail 0:2
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
    Latest results of Al Duhail
    04.04.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 3:2
    17.03.2026 Al-Shamal - Al Duhail 1:3
    12.03.2026 Al-Sailiya - Al Duhail 0:4
    26.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Sadd 1:3
    21.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Arabi Doha 1:1
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Sadd21133553:282542
    2Shamal20114534:25937
    3Al Rayyan21105642:321035
    4Al-Gharafa21112835:35035
    5Al Arabi2095636:35132
    6Al-Duhail2186738:261230
    7Qatar SC2085731:31029
    8Al Wakra2176833:33027
    9Al Ahli Doha21721231:42-1123
    10Umm-Salal21621336:53-1720
    11Al-Shahaniya21621321:38-1720
    12Al Sailiya20541122:34-1219

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