Lulu Sun vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/04/2025 at 12:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	1
Double Faults
1	5
1st Serve Percentage
61%	70%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (40/51)	62% (37/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (13/33)	46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
75% (6/8)	43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
38% (23/60)	22% (11/51)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (14/26)	61% (20/33)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)	25% (2/8)
Service Points Won
64% (54/85)	57% (49/86)
Return Points Won
43% (37/86)	36% (31/85)
Total Points Won
53% (91/171)	47% (80/171)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
85% (11/13)	69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)	15% (2/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)	42% (11/26)

Chances of winning

Lulu Sun
35.6%

Varvara Gracheva
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lulu Sun's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lulu Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.89)		1.47 ↓ (1.89)	5.1% (6%)

What is the prediction for Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 1 - 50%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Sun (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Varvara Gracheva will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Sun is ranked WTA: 45. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 67.
Sun is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Gracheva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Gracheva will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Lulu Sun won against Varvara Gracheva?

Lulu Sun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Varvara Gracheva won against Lulu Sun?

Varvara Gracheva has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:

03.01.2024 Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva 0:2

Latest results of Lulu Sun

11.04.2025 Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lulu Sun 1:2 ✺

10.04.2025 Lulu Sun - Joanna Garland 2:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Dayeon Back - Lulu Sun 0:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Sahaja Yamalapalli - Lulu Sun 0:2 ✺

19.03.2025 Mayar Sherif - Lulu Sun 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Varvara Gracheva

17.04.2025 Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Varvara Gracheva 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal 2:0 ✺

09.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Zeynep Sonmez 0:2 ✺

08.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Lisa Zaar 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Stearns P.	Boisson L.	2 : 0
3	Uchijima M.	Starodubtseva Y. (LL)	1 : 2
4	Bye	Cristian J. (29)
5	Bouzkova M. (23)	Bye
6	Kalinina A. (Q)	Rakhimova K.	2 : 1
7	Zakharova A.	Osorio C.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Osaka N. (14)
9	Bencic B. (11)	Bye
10	Marcinko P.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)	2 : 0
11	Haddad Maia B.	Bouzas Maneiro J.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Shnaider D. (18)
13	Baptiste H. (30)	Bye
14	Quevedo K. (WC)	Williams V. (WC)	2 : 0
15	Siegemund L.	Begu I.	2 : 0
16	Bye	Paolini J. (8)
17	Swiatek I. (4)	Bye
18	Snigur D. (Q)	Kasatkina D.	2 : 1
19	Parks A. (Q)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
20	Bye	Li A. (31)
21	Fernandez L. (24)	Bye
22	Badosa P. (WC)	Grabher J.	1 : 2
23	Montgomery R. (WC)	Linette M.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Jovic I. (15)
25	Andreeva M. (9)	Bye
26	Udvardy P. (LL)	Birrell K.	2 : 1
27	Galfi D. (Q)	Tomljanovic A.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (22)
29	Wang Xin. (28)	Bye
30	Maria T.	Samson L. (WC)	0 : 2
31	Bondar A.	Golubic V.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Svitolina E. (7)
33	Pegula J. (5)	Bye
34	Townsend T.	Boulter K.	0 : 2
35	Putintseva Y.	Valentova T.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Kostyuk M. (26)
37	Blinkova A. (Alt)	Bye
38	Kalieva E. (Q)	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
39	McNally C.	Volynets K. (Q)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Mboko V. (10)
41	Noskova L. (13)	Bye
42	Gibson T.	Arango E. (WC)	0 : 2
43	Tjen J.	Charaeva A. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Samsonova L. (20)
45	Cirstea S. (25)	Bye
46	Jacquemot E.	Grant T. C. (Q)	0 : 2
47	Selekhmeteva O.	Jeanjean L. (Q)	0 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (3)
49	Frech M. (34)	Bye
50	Yastremska D.	Sierra S.	0 : 2
51	Sonmez Z.	Martinez Cirez C. (WC)	2 : 0
52	Bye	Bucsa C. (27)
53	Mertens E. (19)	Bye
54	Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)	Eala A.	0 : 2
55	Pliskova Ka.	Kraus S. (Q)	2 : 1
56	Bye	Sakkari M. (33)
57	Potapova A. (LL)	Bye
58	Zhang S.	Lys E.	2 : 0
59	Oliynykova O.	Waltert S. (Q)	0 : 2
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (21)
61	Zheng Q. (32)	Bye
62	Krueger A.	Kenin S.	0 : 2
63	Ruse G.	Ruzic A.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Rybakina E. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
2	Starodubtseva Y.	Cristian J. (29)	1 : 2
3	Bouzkova M. (23)	Kalinina A.	0 : 2
4	Osorio C.	Osaka N. (14)	0 : 2
5	Bencic B. (11)	Marcinko P.	2 : 0
6	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Shnaider D. (18)	1 : 2
7	Baptiste H. (30)	Quevedo K.	2 : 0
8	Siegemund L.	Paolini J. (8)	1 : 2
9	Swiatek I. (4)	Snigur D.	2 : 0
10	Parks A.	Li A. (31)	1 : 2
11	Fernandez L. (24)	Grabher J.	2 : 0
12	Linette M.	Jovic I. (15)	0 : 2
13	Andreeva M. (9)	Udvardy P.	2 : 0
14	Galfi D.	Kalinskaya A. (22)	2 : 0
15	Wang Xin. (28)	Samson L.	1 : 2
16	Bondar A.	Svitolina E. (7)	2 : 0
17	Pegula J. (5)	Boulter K.	2 : 0
18	Putintseva Y.	Kostyuk M. (26)	0 : 2
19	Blinkova A.	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
20	McNally C.	Mboko V. (10)	2 : 0
21	Noskova L. (13)	Arango E.	2 : 0
22	Tjen J.	Samsonova L. (20)	0 : 2
23	Cirstea S. (25)	Grant T. C.	2 : 0
24	Jeanjean L.	Gauff C. (3)	0 : 2
25	Frech M. (34)	Sierra S.	0 : 2
26	Sonmez Z.	Bucsa C. (27)	2 : 1
27	Mertens E. (19)	Eala A.	2 : 0
28	Pliskova Ka.	Sakkari M. (33)	2 : 0
29	Potapova A.	Zhang S.	2 : 0
30	Waltert S.	Ostapenko J. (21)	0 : 2
31	Zheng Q. (32)	Kenin S.	2 : 1
32	Ruse G.	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Cristian J. (29)	2 : 0
2	Kalinina A.	Osaka N. (14)	0 : 2
3	Bencic B. (11)	Shnaider D. (18)	2 : 0
4	Baptiste H. (30)	Paolini J. (8)	2 : 0
5	Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)	Li A. (31)	1 : 1
6	Fernandez L. (24)	Jovic I. (15)	2 : 1
7	Andreeva M. (9)	Galfi D.	2 : 0
8	Samson L.	Bondar A.	0 : 2
9	Pegula J. (5)	Kostyuk M. (26)	0 : 2
10	Siniakova K.	McNally C.	1 : 2
11	Noskova L. (WO.) (13)	Samsonova L. (20)
12	Cirstea S. (25)	Gauff C. (3)	1 : 2
13	Sierra S.	Sonmez Z.	2 : 1
14	Mertens E. (19)	Pliskova Ka.	1 : 2
15	Potapova A.	Ostapenko J. (21)	2 : 1
16	Zheng Q. (32)	Rybakina E. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Osaka N. (14)
2	Bencic B. (11)	Baptiste H. (30)
3	Li A. (31)	Fernandez L. (24)
4	Andreeva M. (9)	Bondar A.
5	Kostyuk M. (26)	McNally C.
6	Noskova L. (13)	Gauff C. (3)
7	Sierra S.	Pliskova Ka.
8	Potapova A.	Rybakina E. (2)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2