Grimsby Town vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 31
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.741.45
Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
266
Shots on Goal
113
Shots off Goal
61
Blocked Shots
92
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
124
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
29
Free Kicks
148
Offsides
31
Fouls
814
Throw-ins
2737
Touches in the Opposition Box
4711
Passes
67% (217/325)63% (211/333)
Passes in the final third
61% (86/141)57% (69/122)
Crosses
47% (9/19)36% (5/14)
Tackles
62% (13/21)71% (17/24)
Clearances Total
2623
Interceptions
116

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Lavelle S. , Embleton E. (A),
  • 44', Hugill J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 51', Lavelle S. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Obikwu J. , Khouri E. (A),
  • 63', Wearne S. , Bevan J. ,
  • 64', Patching W. , Robson E. ,
  • 71', Khouri E. 🟨,
  • 75', Embleton E. 🟨,
  • 77', Embleton E. , Scott C. ,
  • 79', McJannett C. , Warren T. ,
  • 82', Robson E. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Rose D. (Pen),
  • 84', Obikwu J. , Vernam C. ,
  • 87', Green K. , Thompson C. ,
  • 88', Khouri E. , Barrington L. ,
  • 90+2', Lavelle S. , Barclay B. ,
  • 90+4', Thomas T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
42%
Draw
28%
Carlisle United
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 27% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Grimsby Town - Carlisle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.11)
    3.37
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.27)
    6.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 1.
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Grimsby will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:3
    04.03.2023 Carlisle United - Grimsby Town 2:0
    27.09.2022 Grimsby Town - Carlisle United 1:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    01.02.2025 Bromley - Grimsby Town 0:2
    28.01.2025 Grimsby Town - Gillingham 1:1
    25.01.2025 Barrow - Grimsby Town 3:0
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English League Two Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley ✔ 462415771:462587
    2MK Dons ✔ 462414886:454186
    3Cambridge Utd462216866:333382
    4Salford462561561:511081
    5Notts Co462481474:522280
    6Chesterfield462116971:561579
    7Grimsby4622121274:502478
    8Barnet4621131270:531776
    9Swindon462291570:591175
    10Oldham4618141460:441668
    11Crewe4619101764:58667
    12Colchester4618121662:491366
    13Walsall4618111756:56065
    14Bristol Rovers461952256:65-962
    15Fleetwood4615161557:58-161
    16Accrington4614112147:58-1153
    17Gillingham4613141953:72-1953
    18Cheltenham4614102253:79-2652
    19Shrewsbury4613102342:69-2749
    20Newport461272748:77-2943
    21Tranmere4610112554:79-2541
    22Crawley468162244:68-2440
    23Harrogate461092739:68-2939
    24Barrow46992845:78-3336

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bromley is Qualified for League One
    MK Dons is Qualified for League One