Result
1:4
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 44
- Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (195/298) | 68% (217/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 2.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (195/298) | 68% (217/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (27/82) | 36% (25/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (56/108) | 55% (72/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.84 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.16 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', 0 - 1, Cook A. ⚽, Green K. (A),
- 45', Amaluzor J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Little A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 55', 1 - 1, McCleary G. ⚽, Little A. (A),
- 66', Walker J. ↓, Turi G. D. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Kabia J. ⚽,
- 76', Kabia J. ↓, Vernam C. ↑,
- 76', Amaluzor J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 76', Staunton R. ↓, Sweeney J. ↑,
- 78', Masterson C. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 79', Cirino L. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 3, Green K. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
- 85', 1 - 4, Vernam C. ⚽, Green K. (A),
- 87', McCleary G. ↓, Akomeah T. ↑,
- 88', Oduor C. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
- 88', Khumbeni N. ↓, Waldock H. ↑,
- 90+3', Hale R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
24.7% | Draw
27.2% | Grimsby Town
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Gillingham - Grimsby Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(3.17) |
3.47 ↑
(3.31) |
1.95 ↓
(2.13) |
6.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Grimsby Town?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Grimsby will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 23.1% – 88.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grimsby (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Gillingham (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 50%). Grimsby (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Gillingham has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Grimsby is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Antwi C.
(Injury)
Ogie S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Khouri E.
(Inactive)
McEachran G.
(Inactive)
Tharme D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Beckles O.
(Inactive)
Coleman E.
(Inactive)
Smith J.
(Leg Injury)
Waldock H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Grimsby: Sellars-Fleming T.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Grimsby Town?
Gillingham has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Gillingham?
Grimsby Town has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Grimsby Town were as follows:
18.10.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Gillingham
1:0
28.01.2025
Grimsby Town
-
Gillingham
1:1
01.10.2024
Gillingham
-
Grimsby Town
0:1
16.03.2024
Gillingham
-
Grimsby Town
1:1
02.09.2023
Grimsby Town
-
Gillingham
2:0
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Grimsby Town
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
