Result
0:3
22/06/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Besta deild karla - Round 12
- Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 3.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (199/270) | 84% (405/483) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 3.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.56 | 2.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 11 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 20 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 9 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (199/270) | 84% (405/483) |
| Long passes |
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| 39% (23/59) | 52% (33/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 54% (46/85) | 67% (88/132) |
| Crosses |
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| 29% (7/24) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.98 | 2.37 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 17 | 24 |
| Fouls |
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| 18 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 71% (10/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
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| 42 | 56 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 2.69 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.69 | 0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Vall J. ↓, Agustsson A. ↑,
- 41', 0 - 1, Waren B. ⚽, Fridjonsson S. (A),
- 42', Sigurjonsson R. 🟨,
- 45', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kristjansson G. ↓, Orvarsson O. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 2, Berndsen B. (Own goal),
- 53', 0 - 3, Bjarnason A. ⚽, Nokkvason G. (A),
- 59', Gislason J. G. E. 🟨,
- 65', Stefansson O. ↓, Haraldsson H. ↑,
- 65', Unnarsson G. ↓, Gunnarsson G. ↑,
- 73', Bjarnason A. ↓, Birgisson A. ↑,
- 73', Gunnarsson J. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,
- 73', Waren B. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
- 76', Vardic M. 🟨,
- 88', Vardic M. ↓, Vifilsson R. ↑,
- 88', Sigurjonsson R. ↓, Leosson G. ↑,
- 88', Eggertsson O. ↓, Jonsson S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Akraness
33.7% | Draw
24.2% | Stjarnan
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akraness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Akraness's form might have worsened.Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stjarnan's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akraness than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Akraness, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stjarnan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Akraness - Stjarnan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.26) |
3.87 ↓
(3.93) |
2.22 ↓
(2.73) |
6.9%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Akraness - Stjarnan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Stjarnan will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 1.
- Recent form of Akraness has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Stjarnan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Akraness may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akraness won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:44. (average 1:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akraness won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Akraness won against Stjarnan?
Akraness has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stjarnan won against Akraness?
Stjarnan has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akraness - Stjarnan were as follows:
14.04.2025
Stjarnan
-
Akraness
2:1
30.09.2024
Stjarnan
-
Akraness
3:0
28.07.2024
Akraness
-
Stjarnan
1:3
05.05.2024
Stjarnan
-
Akraness
4:1
13.01.2024
Stjarnan
-
Akraness
1:2
Latest results of Akraness
Latest results of Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valur | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 30 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:16 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Breidablik | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 27:20 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Fram | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Stjarnan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Vestri | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Afturelding | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Hafnarfjordur | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 18 |
| 9 | Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 18 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:31 | -15 | 18 |
| 11 | KR Reykjavik | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Akranes | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 16:34 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )
Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )
