Result
4:3 OT
09/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.81% (4/37) | 11.54% (3/26) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.46% (23/26) | 89.19% (33/37) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 51 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 71.83 | 28.17 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:34, 1 - 0, Panik R. (G),
- 16:47, 2 - 0, Gernat M. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Beryozkin M. (A2)
- 18:55, 2 - 1, Abrosimov R. (G), Liska A. (A), Gregoire T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:17, Surin Y. (2 min),
- 05:01, 2 - 2, Liska A. (G), Tsitsyura V. (A), Kamalov N. (A2)
- 14:14, Ivanov G. (2 min),
- 18:20, Panik R. (2 min),
- 18:20, Kamalov N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 08:43, 2 - 3, Dumbadze D. (G),
- 19:30, 3 - 3, Shalunov M. (G), Panik R. (A), Gernat M. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:56, 4 - 3, Ivanov G. (G),
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 54.3% | Draw 23% | Severstal Cherepovets 22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.78) |
4.22 ↓ (4.38) |
4.26 ↑ (4.13) |
3.2% (3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Severstal will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.
- Lokomotiv has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Severstal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lokomotiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lokomotiv is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Lokomotiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 54:35. (average 2.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 2.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Yaroslavl won against Severstal Cherepovets?
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has won 16 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Severstal Cherepovets won against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl?
Severstal Cherepovets has won 8 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
02.03.2026
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2:3
28.11.2025
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
2:0
13.10.2025
Severstal Cherepovets
-
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
4:3
24.09.2025
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
-
Severstal Cherepovets
2:1
09.09.2025
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
-
Severstal Cherepovets
4:1
Latest results of Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Latest results of Severstal Cherepovets
KHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ | 65 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 176:130 | 93 |
| 2 | Cherepovets ✔ | 65 | 28 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 191:173 | 84 |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk ✔ | 65 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 234:166 | 83 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow ✔ | 65 | 32 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 154:139 | 80 |
| 5 | Nizhny Novgorod ✔ | 65 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 181:179 | 78 |
| 6 | SKA St. Petersburg ✔ | 64 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 185:163 | 77 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow ✔ | 64 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 175:160 | 77 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow ✔ | 64 | 29 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 196:191 | 74 |
| 9 | Shanghai | 64 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 159:216 | 54 |
| 10 | Lada | 66 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 150:234 | 45 |
| 11 | Sochi | 64 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 134:222 | 44 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Magnitogorsk ✔ | 64 | 36 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 243:170 | 101 |
| 2 | Avangard Omsk ✔ | 65 | 34 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 213:153 | 93 |
| 3 | Bars Kazan ✔ | 64 | 35 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 197:158 | 88 |
| 4 | Yekaterinburg ✔ | 64 | 31 | 8 | 4 | 21 | 195:147 | 82 |
| 5 | Salavat Ufa ✔ | 64 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 26 | 168:164 | 71 |
| 6 | Tractor Chelyabinsk ✔ | 64 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 193:190 | 67 |
| 7 | Niznekamsk ✔ | 65 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 30 | 161:180 | 67 |
| 8 | Novosibirsk | 64 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 29 | 150:189 | 62 |
| 9 | Khabarovsk | 64 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 149:179 | 57 |
| 10 | Barys Astana | 66 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 151:200 | 53 |
| 11 | Vladivostok | 65 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 153:205 | 48 |
Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
CSKA Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
SKA St. Petersburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dynamo Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Spartak Moscow is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yekaterinburg is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Salavat Ufa is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor Chelyabinsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Niznekamsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)