Barys Astana vs Severstal Cherepovets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
22/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3439
Shooting PCT
5.88% (2/34)7.69% (3/39)
Blocked shots
1220
Goalkeeper Saves
3632
Saves PCT
92.31% (36/39)94.12% (32/34)
Penalties
64
PIM
128
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)16.67% (1/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
83.33% (5/6)100% (4/4)
Hits
71
Faceoffs Won
2726
Faceoffs %
50.9449.06
Giveaways
1410
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:44, Lyapunov K. (2 min),
  • 07:47, Logvin V. (2 min),
  • 08:45, 0 - 1, Aimurzin D. (G), Skorenov A. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)
  • 09:05, Mukhametov M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 04:01, Thompson T. (2 min),
  • 09:52, Kamalov N. (2 min),
  • 13:10, (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:40, 0 - 2, Tankov K. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Chefanov I. (A2)
  • 05:28, Zhukov A. (2 min),
  • 09:54, Morelli M. (2 min),
  • 12:13, 1 - 2, Logvin V. (G), Asetov A. (A),
  • 12:34, 2 - 2, Morelli M. (G), Simonov S. (A),
  • 15:11, Zhukov A. (2 min),
  • 19:05, Willman M. (Penalty Shot),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 01:05, 2 - 3, Aimurzin D. (G), Ilyin M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barys Astana
27.3%
Draw
22.7%
Severstal Cherepovets
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 21.8% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 22.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • The chances for Severstal Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (3.35)
    4.16
    (4.33)
    1.89
    (1.89)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Severstal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Severstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barys has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Severstal has had a series of away games.
    • Severstal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:54. (average 2.9:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 2.7:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana 3:2
    20.02.2025 Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets 2:6
    06.12.2024 Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana 5:3
    03.12.2023 Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana 2:3
    12.11.2023 Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets 4:1
    Latest results of Barys Astana
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Spartak Moscow (8)4 : 1
    2Yekaterinburg (4)Salavat Ufa (5)2 : 4
    3Avangard Omsk (2)Niznekamsk (7)4 : 1
    4CSKA Moscow (4)SKA St. Petersburg (5)4 : 1
    5Magnitogorsk (1)Novosibirsk (8)4 : 1
    6Cherepovets (3)Nizhny Novgorod (6)1 : 4
    7Dinamo Minsk (2)Dynamo Moscow (7)4 : 0
    8Bars Kazan (3)Tractor Chelyabinsk (6)4 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (1)Salavat Ufa (5)4 : 0
    2Avangard Omsk (2)CSKA Moscow (4)3 : 1
    3Magnitogorsk (1)Nizhny Novgorod (6)3 : 1
    4Dinamo Minsk (2)Bars Kazan (3)0 : 4