Stal Mielec vs Znicz Pruszków – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
44
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
817
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
  • 31', Szeliga B. , Gerbowski F. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Tabara K. , Proczek T. (A),
  • 41', Koprowski O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tabara K. , Karol M. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Puerto I. ,
  • 65', Diez A. 🟨,
  • 68', Koprowski O. , Pawlik M. ,
  • 70', Bak D. , Nadolski A. ,
  • 70', Proczek T. , Kazimierczak A. ,
  • 73', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
  • 73', Pisek J. , Losada M. ,
  • 78', Puerto I. 🟨,
  • 83', Fucak K. 🟨,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Jach J. ,
  • 86', Diez A. , Odolak K. ,
  • 90+2', Karol M. , Ciepiela B. ,
  • 90+4', Sokol D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
40.5%
Draw
26.1%
Znicz Pruszków
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 26.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 25.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.18)
    3.57
    (3.55)
    2.8
    (2.99)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Stal Mielec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków were as follows:
    25.07.2025 Znicz Pruszków - Stal Mielec 4:5
    17.01.2024 Stal Mielec - Znicz Pruszków 0:1
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla23147254:193549
    2Polonia Warszawa23117539:32740
    3Grodzisk M23109441:301139
    4Chrobry Glogow23115732:221038
    5Wieczysta Krakow23107648:351337
    6Slask Wroclaw23107642:37537
    7Polonia Bytom23105838:30835
    8Legnica23105839:39035
    9S. Rzeszow23105835:36-135
    10Ruch Chorzow2397735:33234
    11LKS Lodz2396834:35-133
    12Puszcza23610729:30-128
    13Pogon Siedlce2369825:25027
    14Odra Opole2368921:29-826
    15Pruszkow23551324:45-2120
    16Stal Mielec23451427:48-2117
    17Leczna232101126:42-1616
    18Tychy23351528:50-2214

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2