Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
22/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 17
  • Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
88
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
53
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
511
Throw-ins
1717
Fouls
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Szymusik G. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 23', 2 - 1, Kruszelnicki P. , Pisek J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 1, Arak J. , Gajda T. (A),
  • 58', 4 - 1, Gajda T. , Calavera J. (A),
  • 66', Wlazlo P. 🟨,
  • 69', Szymusik G. , Matic M. ,
  • 69', Andrzejczak K. , Kwiatkowski O. ,
  • 69', Calavera J. , Apolinarski J. ,
  • 70', Arak J. , Wojtyra K. ,
  • 70', Domanski M. , Losada M. ,
  • 72', Gerbowski F. , Sadlocha K. ,
  • 77', Labojko M. , Bakala M. ,
  • 77', Kruszelnicki P. , Bukowski A. ,
  • 82', Fucak K. , Odolak K. ,
  • 82', Pisek J. , Niedzwiedz N. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Bytom
55.5%
Draw
23.8%
Stal Mielec
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 25.5% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 25.6% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Polonia Bytom - Stal Mielec Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.65)
    3.86
    (3.5)
    4.49
    (4.4)
    8.5%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
    • Polonia Bytom is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Stal Mielec's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Polonia Bytom won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    Latest results of Polonia Bytom
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2