Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 23
- Referee: Spurny J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/333) | 73% (322/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/333) | 73% (322/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (31/68) | 61% (74/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.99 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 2.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Olesen M. ⚽, Hofleitner A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Piesinger S. ↓, Ngankam J. ↑,
- 46', Italiano J. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 46', Diabate C. 🟨,
- 56', Baumgartner D. 🟨,
- 73', Wimmer N. 🟨,
- 74', Schriebl T. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 74', Hofleitner A. ↓, Maderner D. ↑,
- 76', Kojzek E. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 0, Maderner D. ⚽, Harakate R. (A),
- 82', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 85', Diabate C. ↓, Gruber T. ↑,
- 86', Zukic D. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
- 87', Sulzner M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
34.8% | Draw
30.3% | Wolfsberger
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Grazer AK - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↓
(2.76) |
3.13 ↓
(3.36) |
2.72 ↑
(2.51) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 0.
- Recent performances by Grazer have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wolfsberger is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Grazer: Jano Z.
(Injury)
Kreuzriegler M.
(Red Card)
Oberleitner Y.
(Inactive)
Prenqi A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Ngankam J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pink M.
(Injury)
Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Koch T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.7:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Wolfsberger?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Grazer AK?
Wolfsberger has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Wolfsberger were as follows:
08.02.2026
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
2:2
04.10.2025
Grazer AK
-
Wolfsberger
1:3
30.11.2024
Grazer AK
-
Wolfsberger
3:4
25.08.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
4:2
19.01.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
1:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 39:29 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Austria Vienna | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 19 |
| 5 | LASK | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
