Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
45.1%
Draw
28%
Neftchi Fargona
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.2% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.09)
    3.33
    (3.3)
    3.46
    (3.42)
    7.4%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Pakhtakor could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:4
    13.09.2024 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    01.07.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:1
    18.06.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 1:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    05.08.2025 Pakhtakor - AGMK 1:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi21137141:162546
    2Neftchi Fargona20126233:161742
    3Din. Samarkand20108230:23738
    4OKMK21114630:24637
    5Pakhtakor20113642:192336
    6Bunyodkor2098332:211135
    7Navbahor Namangan2196637:231433
    8Qizilqum2068618:26-826
    9Sogdiana2166926:26024
    10Termez Surkhon2166918:23-524
    11Andijan2056925:32-721
    12Mashal Muborak21631218:39-2121
    13Xorazm Urganch20541123:26-319
    14Kokand 191220531215:32-1718
    15Buxoro21451219:37-1817
    16Shortan Guzor21251415:39-2411

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