Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (433/514) | 72% (202/279) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.90 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (433/514) | 72% (202/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 39% (20/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (111/149) | 56% (48/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 22% (6/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 54% (13/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 3.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Pitta I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lora J. ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
- 46', Nicolas Careca ↓, Kauan Alemao ↑,
- 46', Diego Galo ↓, Castrillon N. ↑,
- 59', Yuri Alves ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 0, Gustavo Marques ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
- 76', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
- 76', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 76', Leo Naldi ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 82', Pitta I. 🟨,
- 83', Pitta I. ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
- 83', Juninho Capixaba ↓, Caue Nascimento ↑,
- 83', Juninho ↓, Vinicius Paiva ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 0, Cleiton (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Dantas 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
47.9% | Draw
30.6% | Grêmio Novorizontino
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.92) |
3.06 ↑
(2.91) |
4.31 ↓
(4.56) |
7.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.
- Recent performances by RB Bragantino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Novorizontino is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Alix Vinicius
(Injury)
Eduardo Sasha
(Inactive)
Fabricio
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Marlon
(Inactive)
Patrick
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Rodriguinho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Novorizontino: Castrillon N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
31.01.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
07.02.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Red Bull Bragantino
0:2
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
