Grêmio Novorizontino vs São Bernardo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
27
Corner kicks
07
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
918
Shots on target
27
Shots off target
711
Corner kicks
07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', 🟨,
  • 31', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
39.9%
Draw
30.3%
São Bernardo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 27.8% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 27.6% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.02)
    3.26
    (3.25)
    3.32
    (3.28)
    1.1%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Novorizontino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Novorizontino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo 2:1
    06.02.2025 São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:1
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    Latest results of São Bernardo
    Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chapecoense-SC53116:4210
    2Novorizontino52216:428
    3SER Caxias42113:217
    4Sampaio Correa FE51227:705
    5Cianorte41214:5-15
    6Tombense41128:9-14


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Volta Redonda43108:4410
    2Operario-PR52304:229
    3Avai52128:807
    4America MG51228:9-15
    5Sao Bernardo40133:6-31
    6Juventude40130:5-51

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