Tapatío vs Dorados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
09/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 15
  • Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoAYM Sports, Disney+, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
23
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. , Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
  • 8', 2 - 0, Aguayo S. , Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
  • 19', Ruiz L. 🟨,
  • 27', 3 - 0, Moragrega V. ,
  • 32', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 32', Tellez B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Aguayo S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Garcia L. , Egana A. ,
  • 46', Ruiz L. , Rochester L. ,
  • 46', Galicia C. , Valenzuela A. ,
  • 46', Moragrega V. , Torres C. ,
  • 60', Acurio J. , Ramos A. ,
  • 60', Yanez S. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 61', 3 - 1, Ramos A. , Egana A. (A),
  • 65', Egana A. 🟨,
  • 70', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 77', Inda C. , Uribe J. ,
  • 84', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Egurrola L. ,
  • 87', Mendez F. , Freyfeld E. ,
  • 90', Flores A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Aguayo S. ,

Chances of winning


Tapatío
59.4%
Draw
22.8%
Dorados
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 21.9% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2% 21.2% 15.4%

Tapatío - Dorados Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.48)
4.03
(4.2)
5.17
(5.79)
8.7%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
  • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.
  • Tapatío has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Dorados has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
  • Dorados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Tapatío is seen as the favorite.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Dorados were as follows:
07.02.2025 Tapatío - Dorados 1:0
24.08.2024 Dorados - Tapatío 3:3
05.04.2024 Dorados - Tapatío 1:3
02.11.2023 Tapatío - Dorados 0:1
06.04.2023 Tapatío - Dorados 4:0
Latest results of Tapatío
31.10.2025 Irapuato - Tapatío 2:1
27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
Latest results of Dorados
25.10.2025 Dorados - Tlaxcala 1:1
17.10.2025 Correcaminos UAT - Dorados 1:0
11.10.2025 Dorados - Atlante 0:0
27.09.2025 Dorados - Jaiba Brava 2:3
Draw
Apertura - Play Offs

Quarter-finals
1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

Semi-finals
1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 0, 1 : 0
2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 0 : 0

Final
1Tampico Madero (3)Irapuato (4)1 : 0, 0 : 0