Result
3:0
07/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Moragrega V. ⚽, Zamora S. (A),
- 24', Espinoza G. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 0, Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 39', Blanco J. 🟥,
- 41', Christian ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 43', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hernandez E. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
- 46', Chavez A. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 46', Figueroa F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 46', Iniestra A. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 48', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 65', Moragrega V. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 65', Villaseca D. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 74', Aguayo S. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 80', Santos E. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
- 87', Jimenez L. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Ledesma L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
46.9% | Draw
26.4% | Tlaxcala
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Tapatío - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.92) |
3.49 ↑
(3.48) |
3.45 ↓
(3.51) |
8.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Tlaxcala?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tlaxcala will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Tlaxcala may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tapatío could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Tlaxcala?
Tapatío has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tapatío?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Tlaxcala were as follows:
13.09.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
1:0
09.03.2025
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
1:0
21.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
2:3
12.03.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Tapatío
0:3
24.08.2023
Tapatío
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
