Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (22/43) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (79/103) | 61% (75/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Gogorza M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bjartalid J. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 46', Rafn S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 59', Buksa A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 59', Erlic M. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 60', Franculino ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 70', Owusu S. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
- 75', Bravo P. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 78', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 78', Owusu L. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
- 89', Molde S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland
66.9% | Draw
19.2% | Fredrikstad
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.35) |
5 ↑
(4.9) |
7.08 ↓
(9.6) |
5%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Fredrikstad (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Fredrikstad (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Fredrikstad (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Fredrikstad?
Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Midtjylland?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
07.08.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Midtjylland
1:3
09.02.2024
Midtjylland
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 7 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 9 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 10 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 11 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 12 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
