Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/02/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 20
Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Brazil	RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Montenegro	SportKlub
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1, Flowsports.co
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	0.24
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
21	6
Shots on Goal
6	2
Shots off Goal
6	2
Blocked Shots
9	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	5
Shots inside the Box
7	3
Shots outside the Box
14	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
Free Kicks
12	5
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
5	12
Yellow Cards
3	2
Throw-ins
23	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
28	17
Passes
73% (286/392)	77% (355/460)
Passes in the final third
60% (89/148)	68% (71/104)
Crosses
19% (6/31)	14% (3/21)
Tackles
56% (10/18)	48% (10/21)
Clearances Total
38	63
Interceptions
8	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Juranovic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
46', Openda L. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
49', Leite D. 🟨,
64', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
71', Skarke T. ↓, Jeong Woo-Yeong ↑,
71', Prtajin I. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
71', Juranovic J. ↓, Trimmel C. ↑,
72', Seiwald N. ↓, Lukeba C. ↑,
72', Baku R. ↓, Kampl K. ↑,
77', Haberer J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
78', Baumgartner C. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
78', Poulsen Y. 🟨,
84', Skov R. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
90+5', Benes L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Union Berlin
31.1%

Draw
27.7%

RB Leipzig
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

27.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Union Berlin - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.89)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	2.32 ↓ (2.42)	3.9% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Union Berlin - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 46.2% – 76.8%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 2.
Union Berlin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Ankle Injury) Prtajin I. (Leg Injury) Querfeld L. (Yellow Cards) Ronnow F. (Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Calf Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Thigh Injury) Schlager X. (Muscle Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:28 (average 1.1:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.3:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Union Berlin won against RB Leipzig?

Union Berlin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Union Berlin?

RB Leipzig has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Union Berlin - RB Leipzig were as follows:

14.09.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 0:0

04.02.2024 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 2:0

03.09.2023 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 0:3

11.02.2023 RB Leipzig - Union Berlin 1:2

Latest results of Union Berlin

26.01.2025 St. Pauli - Union Berlin 3:0 ✺

19.01.2025 Union Berlin - Mainz 2:1 ✺

15.01.2025 Union Berlin - Augsburg 0:2 ✺

11.01.2025 Heidenheim - Union Berlin 2:0 ✺

05.01.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

29.01.2025 Sturm Graz - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

25.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 ✺

22.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Sporting Lisbon 2:1 ✺

18.01.2025 Bochum - RB Leipzig 3:3 ✺

15.01.2025 Stuttgart - RB Leipzig 2:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bayern Munich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Wolfsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	B. Monchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	FC Koln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Mainz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	St. Pauli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Heidenheim	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga