Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        15/08/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 6
 
                                                - Referee: Perez R. B. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.01 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 73% | 27% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 90% (484/536) | 66% (139/210) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.01 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.59 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 15 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 30 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 90% (484/536) | 66% (139/210) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 82% (58/71) | 28% (16/57) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 81% (132/163) | 44% (18/41) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (13/40) | 67% (2/3) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 2.11 | 0.46 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 9 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 12 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 68% (13/19) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 54 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 14 | 38 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.26 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.26 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 35', 0 - 1, Marchioni J. ⚽, Carpio Ferro M. P. (A), 
 - 40', Tapia R. 🟨, 
 - 45+3', Mendez P. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Bandiera N. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑, 
 - 46', Garcia B. ↓, Rodas E. ↑, 
 - 46', Garro J. ↓, Olivares C. ↑, 
 - 50', Paico K. ↓, Parodi J. ↑, 
 - 57', Vilchez Y. 🟨, 
 - 62', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑, 
 - 63', Mendez P. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑, 
 - 67', 1 - 1, Sandoval T. ⚽, Ruidiaz R. (A), 
 - 71', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑, 
 - 71', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑, 
 - 85', Vilca R. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑, 
 - 89', 1 - 2, Sen M. (Pen), 
 - 90', Sen M. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Atlético Grau  63.6% | Draw  23.6% | Comerciantes Unidos  12.8% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.66 ↑ (1.4) | 
			   4.27 ↓ (4.38) | 
			   7.92 ↑ (7.88) | 
			   -3.5% (7.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2.
 - Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
 - Recently, Grau has had a series of away games.
  - In this match, Grau is the undeniable favorite.
 - There will not play in Grau: Soto D.
(Red Card)
 - In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 3.3:0.3).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Comerciantes Unidos?
                    
                    
                        
                            Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Atlético Grau?
                    
                    
                        
                             Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.03.2025 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                31.07.2024 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                - 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.02.2024 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                - 
                                Atlético Grau 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlético Grau                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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