Result
4:1
22/04/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (207/270) | 85% (355/418) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (207/270) | 85% (355/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (27/61) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (72/113) | 67% (45/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 70% (7/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 3.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Ataupillco J. ⚽,
- 44', Abram L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Cazonatti G. ↓, Wisdom I. ↑,
- 46', Castro M. ↓, Iberico L. ↑,
- 51', Tavara M. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 0, Ruidiaz R. ⚽,
- 55', Tavara M. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
- 56', Neira C. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Vizeu F. ⚽, Gonzalez S. (A),
- 65', Gonzalez S. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 66', Ataupillco J. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
- 66', Torres S. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
- 67', Neira C. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 1, Delgadillo N. ⚽, Guarderas R. (A),
- 70', Delgadillo N. 🟨,
- 78', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
- 78', Acevedo L. 🟨,
- 80', Avila I. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
- 81', Yotun Y. 🟨,
- 88', de la Cruz P. ↓, Vásquez C. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Camargo I. ⚽, Rodas E. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau 29% | Draw 29.6% | Sporting Cristal 41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Cristal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.2 ↑ (2.65) |
3.16 ↑ (3.1) |
2.25 ↓ (2.7) |
7.5% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sporting Cristal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sporting Cristal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel
(Knee Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Grau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sporting Cristal?
Atlético Grau has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Atlético Grau?
Sporting Cristal has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
19.11.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
1:2
13.07.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
2:1
11.08.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
1:1
02.03.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Atlético Grau
1:0
17.08.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sporting Cristal
2:3
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:14 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Cusco | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cajamarca | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Moquegua | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 16 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 11 | Sporting Cristal | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 13 | AD Tarma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 17 | Grau | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )