Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 17
- Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 3.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/386) | 81% (345/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 3.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (305/386) | 81% (345/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (34/61) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (42/75) | 69% (65/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.04 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Stojakovic A. ⚽, Vesovic M. (A),
- 23', Sanyang A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Rebic A. ⚽,
- 38', Mbacke D. 🟨,
- 42', Katic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Katic I. ↓, Antolic D. ↑,
- 46', Pajac M. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 2, Sego M. ⚽, Rebic A. (A),
- 58', Boskovic B. 🟨,
- 62', Sanyang A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 67', Krivak F. ↓, Susak M. ↑,
- 73', Situm M. ↓, Vasilj J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Rebic A. ⚽, Sego M. (A),
- 79', Stojakovic A. 🟨,
- 84', Rebic A. ↓, Livaja M. ↑,
- 88', Boskovic B. ↓, Sobol H. ↑,
- 90', Almena I. ↓, Pajaziti A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiva Zagreb
28.4% | Draw
29.2% | Hajduk Split
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiva Zagreb's performance.Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hajduk Split might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiva Zagreb that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hajduk Split could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(4.27) |
3.2 ↓
(3.36) |
2.2 ↑
(1.79) |
7.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hajduk will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Hajduk (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Lokomotiva (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiva (votes: 1 - 50%). Hajduk (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 1.
- Recent form of Lokomotiva has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hajduk's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hajduk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiva won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiva won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Hajduk Split?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Hajduk Split has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split were as follows:
27.09.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:0
13.04.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
1:1
02.02.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
3:2
26.10.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
2:1
11.08.2024
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 52:17 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Rijeka | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 34:25 | 9 | 32 |
| 4 | Varazdin | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 32 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 32:36 | -4 | 31 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Lok. Zagreb | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 29 |
| 8 | Gorica | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 26 |
| 9 | Vukovar 1991 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 20 |
| 10 | Osijek | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
