Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Football Spanish LaLiga Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo
Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 34
  • Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 1
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN 4, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, RCTI+
israelIsraelONE Sport
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoK Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Plus, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV 2, M+ LaLiga TV
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.96
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
93% (560/605)88% (457/519)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.121.96
xG on target (xGOT)
2.392.10
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
32
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
115
Passes
93% (560/605)88% (457/519)
Long passes
70% (33/47)67% (39/58)
Passes in final third
82% (117/143)79% (107/136)
Crosses
15% (2/13)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.361.47
Throw-ins
99
Fouls
511
Tackles
67% (8/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3826
Clearances
914
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.102.39
Goals prevented
0.10-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Lucas (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
  • 45', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 48', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 54', Beltran F. ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
  • 54', Carreira S. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
  • 62', Lago Y. 🟨,
  • 65', Iglesias B. ↓, Swedberg W. ↑,
  • 65', Gonzalez A. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
  • 66', Asencio R. ↓, Ramon J. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
  • 74', Ceballos D. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
  • 75', Sotelo H. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
  • 76', 3 - 2, Swedberg W. ⚽, Aspas I. (A),
  • 83', Guler A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 90+5', Ramon J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
68.8%		Draw
17.5%		Celta de Vigo
13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.6% 16.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Real Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Celta de Vigo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
    •

    Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.4 ↑
    (1.4)    		 5.47 ↓
    (5.5)    		 7.04 ↑
    (6.98)    		 3.8%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo?
  • Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 53 - 89.8%). Celta will win (votes: 2 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 82.1% – 97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 1st Half - Real (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Illness) Rudiger A. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Celta: El Abdellaoui J. (Thigh Injury) Starfelt C. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 16 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:21. (average 2.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 31:9. (average 3.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo were as follows:
    16.01.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 5:2
    19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2
    10.03.2024 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 4:0
    25.08.2023 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 0:1
    22.04.2023 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 2:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    26.04.2025 Barcelona - Real Madrid 3:2 ✺
    23.04.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    23.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Villarreal 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Barcelona - Celta de Vigo 4:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Celta de Vigo - Espanyol 0:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Mallorca - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺
    31.03.2025 Celta de Vigo - Las Palmas 1:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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