Celta de Vigo vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
1:2
06/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 27
  • Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 15, SCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.050.87
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
814
Shots on target
43
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
16
Passes
86% (407/471)91% (740/810)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.050.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.38
Total shots
814
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
07
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1418
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
124
Passes
86% (407/471)91% (740/810)
Long passes
52% (23/44)51% (26/51)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)82% (191/234)
Crosses
50% (3/6)6% (1/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.80
Throw ins
1416
Fouls
412
Tackles
40% (4/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
3831
Clearances
236
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
1.382.10
Goals prevented
-0.621.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Tchouameni A. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
  • 25', 1 - 1, Iglesias B. ⚽, Swedberg W. (A),
  • 31', Iglesias B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Guler A. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
  • 69', Swedberg W. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
  • 70', Jutgla F. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
  • 70', Iglesias B. ↓, El Abdellaoui J. ↑,
  • 77', Diaz B. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
  • 83', Mingueza O. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
  • 86', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 90', Pitarch T. ↓, Moran M. A. ↑,
  • 90', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Moriba I. ↓, Vecino M. ↑,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Valverde F. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Celta de Vigo
30.8%		Draw
28.5%		Real Madrid
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 22.4% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 22.1% 55.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celta de Vigo's performance.
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celta de Vigo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.18 ↓
    (4.21)    		 3.37 ↓
    (4.24)    		 2.35 ↑
    (1.73)    		 3.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 16 - 19.8%). Real will win (votes: 57 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 9.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 60.5% – 80.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Celta (2.14) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Real (1.72) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Real (1.40) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • AH +1 - Celta (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Celta (1.47) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Real (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 39 high ROI users predict this event. Celta (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Real (votes: 29 - 74.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1.
    • Celta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Real has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Celta: Duran P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Calf Injury) Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Carreras A. (Yellow Cards) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Huijsen D. (Yellow Cards) Mastantuono F. (Red Card) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Celta: Cervi F. (Coach's decision)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Celta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 21:58. (average 1.1:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Celta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:27. (average 1.1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 0:2
    04.05.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 3:2
    16.01.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 5:2
    19.10.2024 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2
    10.03.2024 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 4:0
    Latest results of Celta de Vigo
    01.03.2026 Girona - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺
    26.02.2026 Celta de Vigo - PAOK 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 2:0 ✺
    19.02.2026 PAOK - Celta de Vigo 1:2 ✺
    14.02.2026 Espanyol - Celta de Vigo 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    02.03.2026 Real Madrid - Getafe 0:1 ✺
    25.02.2026 Real Madrid - Benfica 2:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    14.02.2026 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona27221472:264667
    2Real Madrid27203456:233363
    3Atl. Madrid27166546:252154
    4Villarreal27173750:321854
    5Betis271110642:34843
    6Celta Vigo271010737:30740
    7Espanyol271071034:40-637
    8Real Sociedad27981040:41-135
    9Getafe271051223:29-635
    10Ath Bilbao271051230:37-735
    11Osasuna27971132:32034
    12Valencia27881130:41-1132
    13Rayo Vallecano277101027:33-631
    14Sevilla27871235:42-731
    15Girona277101028:43-1531
    16Alaves27761425:37-1227
    17Elche275111135:41-626
    18Mallorca27671431:44-1325
    19Levante27571529:45-1622
    20Oviedo27391517:44-2718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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