Result
2:3
10/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 20
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (214/287) | 79% (285/363) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (214/287) | 79% (285/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (26/51) | 49% (17/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 66% (73/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Acosta D. (Pen),
- 18', Valdez D. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Ocampos C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', 2 - 1, Ocampos C. ⚽, Vera F. (A),
- 55', Aranda P. 🟨,
- 57', Maidana E. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
- 57', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
- 59', Moreira E. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 59', Aranda S. ↓, Salazar V. ↑,
- 60', Acosta D. 🟨,
- 69', Barrientos N. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
- 76', Acosta D. ↓, Llano J. ↑,
- 78', Alfonso E. 🟨,
- 82', Leon M. 🟨,
- 84', Riquelme H. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 84', Acosta M. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
- 87', Martinez M. 🟨,
- 88', Valdez D. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
- 88', Vera F. ↓, Escobar R. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Molinas A. ⚽, Caceres Aguero F. M. (A),
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Fretes S. ⚽, Alfonso E. (A),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
37% | Draw
30.5% | 2 de Mayo
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.65) |
3.03 ↓
(3.04) |
2.86 ↑
(2.65) |
7.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo?
Users Predictions:
Sportivo Ameliano will win
(23 of 24 users predict this - 95.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sportivo Ameliano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sportivo Ameliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against 2 de Mayo?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Sportivo Ameliano?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
23.08.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
21.04.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:4
10.02.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
11.11.2024
Sportivo Ameliano
-
2 de Mayo
0:2
29.08.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 30:18 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Guarani | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 40:19 | 21 | 39 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24:17 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 33:30 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 9 | Libertad Asuncion | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24:23 | 1 | 23 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:38 | -16 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
