Result
2:2
05/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (221/279) | 78% (229/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (221/279) | 78% (229/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (50/79) | 56% (46/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Maiz A. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Franco T. ⚽, Quintana S. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Cabral R. ⚽, Larralde V. (A),
- 39', Ocampos C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Aranda S. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
- 46', Franco T. ↓, Lopez O. ↑,
- 46', Lopez O. ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 1, Cabral R. ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 2, Maggi I. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Martinez Cubilla A. M. 🟨,
- 61', Ocampos C. 🟨,
- 67', Diaz S. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 67', Maiz A. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 69', Cabral R. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
- 69', Larralde V. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
- 70', Villalba A. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
- 77', Balbuena A. 🟨,
- 83', Martinez Cubilla A. M. 🟨,
- 88', Comas L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Vera E. ↓, Leon M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Ameliano
43% | Draw
30.5% | Sportivo Luqueño
26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.43) |
3.03 ↑
(2.99) |
3.54 ↑
(3.07) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sportivo Ameliano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 2.
- Sportivo Ameliano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sportivo Ameliano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Sportivo Ameliano will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Ameliano won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Sportivo Ameliano has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Sportivo Ameliano?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
06.02.2026
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
02.11.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
16.08.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Luqueño
0:1
02.06.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Sportivo Ameliano
0:0
29.03.2025
Sportivo Ameliano
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
Latest results of Sportivo Ameliano
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
