Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Lauziere P. (Can)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN 4 |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (306/353) | 88% (512/582) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (306/353) | 88% (512/582) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (16/35) | 60% (28/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (71/91) | 67% (98/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.33 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.33 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Allende T. ⚽, Alba J. (A), Messi L. (A2)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 1, Mihailovic D. ⚽, Laryea R. (A), Osorio J. (A2)
- 63', Rodriguez B. ↓, Segovia T. ↑,
- 68', Etienne D. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 71', Fray I. ↓, Weigandt M. ↑,
- 71', Busquets S. ↓, Bright Y. ↑,
- 78', Corbeanu T. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 80', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
- 82', Petretta R. 🟨,
- 90', Mihailovic D. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 90', Cifuentes J. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
21.5% | Draw
22% | Inter Miami
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Inter Miami's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Inter Miami, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC - Inter Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.46 ↑
(3.23) |
4.32 ↑
(3.98) |
1.72 ↓
(1.99) |
3.8%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Inter Miami?
Users Predictions:
Inter Miami will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Inter Miami will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Inter Miami is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kerr D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Long K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Inter Miami: Obando A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ruiz D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Inter Miami: Alba J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:24. (average 0.9:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Inter Miami?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Inter Miami won against Toronto FC?
Inter Miami has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Inter Miami were as follows:
06.04.2025
Inter Miami
-
Toronto FC
1:1
05.10.2024
Toronto FC
-
Inter Miami
0:1
08.08.2024
Inter Miami
-
Toronto FC
4:3
17.07.2024
Inter Miami
-
Toronto FC
3:1
20.09.2023
Inter Miami
-
Toronto FC
4:0
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Inter Miami
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC ✔ | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 60:41 | 19 | 60 |
| 2 | Minnesota United ✔ | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 55:37 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59:34 | 25 | 57 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC ✔ | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 60:37 | 23 | 53 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders ✔ | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 55:47 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Austin FC | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 44 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | FC Dallas | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:52 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:46 | -10 | 40 |
| 10 | Colorado Rapids | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 42:54 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 57:58 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 43:56 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | St. Louis City | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 46:70 | -24 | 27 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 42:64 | -22 | 24 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union ✔ | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 57:33 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati ✔ | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 49:40 | 9 | 62 |
| 3 | Inter Miami ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 72:53 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | Charlotte ✔ | 33 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 56 |
| 5 | New York City ✔ | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 56 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 56:40 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 66:58 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 52:50 | 2 | 51 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:57 | -23 | 28 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 37:57 | -20 | 27 |
| 15 | DC United | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 29:65 | -36 | 25 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
