Result
1:1
02/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (143/213) | 85% (491/581) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (143/213) | 85% (491/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 50% (22/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (43/78) | 69% (70/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.29 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 1 - 0, Rios G. ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, Montiel G. ⚽, Subiabre I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
- 63', Rios G. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
- 63', Costa L. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 66', Subiabre I. 🟨,
- 72', Subiabre I. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 76', Freitas J. 🟨,
- 78', Sartori F. ↓, Arce A. ↑,
- 78', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 83', Driussi S. ↓, Castano K. ↑,
- 84', Fernandez M. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno A. ↓, Colidio F. ↑,
- 90+1', Freitas J. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
30.8% | Draw
30.8% | River Plate
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.14) |
3.07 ↓
(3.16) |
2.43 ↑
(2.37) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 1 - 20%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Independiente R (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Independiente R (2.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Independiente R (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Independiente R (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.25 - Independiente R (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 9 - 69.2%). River Plate (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Independiente R is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- River Plate's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- River Plate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A.
(Broken collarbone)
- There will not play in River Plate: Armani F.
(Inactive)
Centurion E.
(Inactive)
Costantini G.
(Knee Injury)
Meza M.
(Foot Injury)
Pezzella G.
(Knee Injury)
Portillo J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against River Plate?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Independiente Rivadavia?
River Plate has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate were as follows:
24.10.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
River Plate
1:0
21.11.2024
Independiente Rivadavia
-
River Plate
2:1
06.03.2024
River Plate
-
Independiente Rivadavia
2:0
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:6 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lanus | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | Talleres Cordoba | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 18 |
| 8 | Independiente | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | Platense | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 15 |
| 11 | Instituto | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 26 |
| 2 | River Plate | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 | Racing Club | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigre | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Huracan | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimnasia L.P | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Banfield | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 6 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
