Result
0:5
17/08/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Valentini S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 54', 0 - 2, Carpenter B. ⚽,
- 64', 0 - 3, Cuba C. ⚽,
- 67', 0 - 4, Kur K. ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 5, Ott G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
South Melbourne
21.1% | Draw
22.8% | Avondale
56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Melbourne's form might have worsened.Avondale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avondale's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Melbourne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avondale than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avondale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Melbourne - Avondale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.45 ↑
(2.79) |
4.12 ↑
(3.66) |
1.67 ↓
(2.14) |
6.6%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Avondale?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Avondale (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Avondale will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Avondale is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 0.
- South Melbourne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avondale is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Avondale has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Avondale is a strong favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.3:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Avondale?
South Melbourne has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avondale won against South Melbourne?
Avondale has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Avondale were as follows:
03.05.2025
Avondale
-
South Melbourne
4:0
10.08.2024
Avondale
-
South Melbourne
1:1
04.05.2024
South Melbourne
-
Avondale
1:3
10.09.2023
Avondale
-
South Melbourne
4:0
12.08.2023
Avondale
-
South Melbourne
2:1
Latest results of South Melbourne
Latest results of Avondale
Australian NPL Victoria Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avondale FC | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 66:27 | 39 | 61 |
| 2 | Heidelberg Utd | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:25 | 30 | 57 |
| 3 | Dandenong Thunder | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 60:32 | 28 | 53 |
| 4 | Oakleigh Cannons | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 49 |
| 5 | Preston Lions | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:28 | 12 | 47 |
| 6 | Dandenong City | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 51:38 | 13 | 40 |
| 7 | Hume City | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Green Gully | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:42 | -3 | 31 |
| 9 | South Melbourne | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:46 | -17 | 28 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28:38 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | St Albans | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 45:56 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 36:60 | -24 | 18 |
| 13 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:64 | -40 | 17 |
| 14 | Melbourne Knights | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 28:72 | -44 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League
