Result
08/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Heidelberg United
63.1% | Draw
19.1% | South Melbourne
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Heidelberg United - South Melbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
4.79 ↑
(4.72) |
5.12 ↑
(4.7) |
9.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Heidelberg United is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidelberg United won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidelberg United won against South Melbourne?
Heidelberg United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Heidelberg United?
South Melbourne has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidelberg United - South Melbourne were as follows:
28.11.2025
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
1:0
26.07.2025
Heidelberg United
-
South Melbourne
1:1
13.04.2025
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
0:3
16.06.2024
Heidelberg United
-
South Melbourne
1:0
08.03.2024
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
1:1
Latest results of Heidelberg United
Latest results of South Melbourne
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | 15 | 23 |
| 2 | South Melbourne | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Heidelberg Utd | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Hume City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Avondale FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Bentleigh Greens | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | George Cross | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 10 | St Albans | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 13 |
| 11 | Dandenong Thunder | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Altona Magic | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Dandenong City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:28 | -23 | 3 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
