Toluca vs Cruz Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
04/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
2517
Shots on target
118
Corner kicks
67
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
2517
Shots on target
118
Shots off target
149
Corner kicks
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Kanu U. ,
  • 24', 0 - 2, Kanu U. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Torres A. , Gutierrez I. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Perez Y. , Jakobsson S. ,
  • 50', Frias A. 🟨,
  • 53', Blackwood D. 🟨,
  • 54', Guatemala D. , Martinez K. ,
  • 55', 0 - 3, Martinez A. ,
  • 62', Frias A. , Leon M. ,
  • 64', Blackwood D. , Roman M. ,
  • 69', Diaz B. , Fernandez K. ,
  • 73', Abam M. , Calderon D. ,
  • 74', Pavi M. 🟨,
  • 86', Angeles L. , Valdez V. ,
  • 86', Martinez A. , Martinez L. ,
  • 89', 0 - 4, Kanu U. ,
  • 90+1', Godinez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Toluca
49.9%
Draw
23.5%
Cruz Azul
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 24.5% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9% 25.2% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Toluca aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Toluca - Cruz Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.85)
    3.92
    (3.65)
    3.45
    (3.3)
    8.7%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 2.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:6. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Cruz Azul were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    12.10.2024 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:1
    22.04.2024 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:3
    20.10.2023 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    31.03.2026 Club León - Toluca 3:3
    27.03.2026 Mazatlan - Toluca 2:3
    20.03.2026 Toluca - Necaxa 5:1
    16.03.2026 Club America - Toluca 2:0
    12.03.2026 Toluca - UNAM 4:2
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    28.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Puebla 4:0
    21.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Mazatlan 1:0
    17.03.2026 Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul 0:2
    12.03.2026 Cruz Azul - Necaxa 3:0
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Club America W (1)Juarez W (8)3 : 2, 1 : 1
    2Pachuca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)1 : 2
    3Monterrey W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)4 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Tigres UANL W (3)Toluca W (6)1 : 2