Result
4:2
12/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Lopez F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Chavero P. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
- 43', Guerrero A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 50', Cuevas B. 🟨,
- 57', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
- 58', Peraza C. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez M. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 58', Bolanos N. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
- 67', Torres C. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
- 67', Hix A. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,
- 67', Flores S. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 73', Robert F. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 75', Guerrero A. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
- 85', Jakobsson S. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 2, Diaz B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Toluca
59.2% | Draw
22.2% | UNAM
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Toluca - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.51) |
4.14 ↑
(3.98) |
4.91 ↓
(5.17) |
9%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - UNAM?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - UNAM (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - UNAM (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- UNAM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toluca is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against UNAM?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Toluca?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - UNAM were as follows:
06.09.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
1:2
31.01.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
3:0
19.07.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
1:2
17.01.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
2:2
16.09.2023
UNAM
-
Toluca
5:1
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Juarez W (8) | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W (3) | Toluca W (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monterrey W (2) | Cruz Azul W (7) | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Pachuca W (4) | Guadalajara Chivas W (5) | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Toluca W (6) | |
| 2 | Monterrey W (2) | Pachuca W (4) | |
