Result
4:2
12/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Lopez F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Chavero P. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Ribeiro S. ⚽,
- 43', Guerrero A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 50', Cuevas B. 🟨,
- 57', Rodriguez Perez Y. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
- 58', Peraza C. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
- 58', Ramirez M. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
- 58', Bolanos N. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
- 67', Torres C. ↓, Diaz N. ↑,
- 67', Hix A. ↓, Huerta A. ↑,
- 67', Flores S. ↓, Bonilla W. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Fernandez K. ⚽,
- 73', 3 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 73', Robert F. ↓, Pavi M. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 75', Guerrero A. ↓, Mendoza A. ↑,
- 85', Jakobsson S. ↓, Roman M. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 2, Diaz B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Toluca
59.2% | Draw
22.2% | UNAM
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Toluca - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.51) |
4.14 ↑
(3.98) |
4.91 ↓
(5.17) |
9%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - UNAM?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - UNAM (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - UNAM (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. UNAM (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
- Toluca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- UNAM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toluca is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against UNAM?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Toluca?
UNAM has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - UNAM were as follows:
06.09.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
1:2
31.01.2025
UNAM
-
Toluca
3:0
19.07.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
1:2
17.01.2024
Toluca
-
UNAM
2:2
16.09.2023
UNAM
-
Toluca
5:1
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 39:5 | 34 | 40 |
| 2 | Club America W ✔ | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 41:11 | 30 | 39 |
| 3 | Pachuca W ✔ | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 44:12 | 32 | 36 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 34 |
| 5 | Guadalajara Chivas W ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 32 |
| 6 | Toluca W ✔ | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul W ✔ | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas W | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | Mazatlan FC W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis W | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 |
| 13 | Club Leon W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 16 |
| 14 | Atlas W | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21:38 | -17 | 12 |
| 15 | Puebla W | 16 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8:44 | -36 | 8 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11:29 | -18 | 6 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11:43 | -32 | 5 |
| 18 | Necaxa W | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9:59 | -50 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Monterrey W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Toluca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
