Result
0:2
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 27
- Referee: Martin R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (323/466) | 48% (121/252) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (323/466) | 48% (121/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (26/105) | 27% (26/98) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (87/160) | 39% (41/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.74 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 37 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 55 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.51 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', Whalley S. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Wiles B. ⚽, Paterson C. (A),
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Collins A. ⚽, Mellish J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Woods J. ↓, Madden P. ↑,
- 60', Henderson A. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
- 62', Kelly L. 🟨,
- 65', Collins A. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 65', Wiles B. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
- 66', Matthews D. 🟨,
- 70', Hogan S. 🟨,
- 76', Kelly L. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 76', Conneely S. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 77', O'Brien C. ↓, Brown C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Accrington Stanley
30% | Draw
27.8% | Milton Keynes Dons
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.51) |
3.31 ↓
(3.46) |
2.21 ↑
(1.99) |
7.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Accrington: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Accrington (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
- MK Dons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Accrington: Hall C.
(Inactive)
Mooney K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in MK Dons: Mendez-Laing N.
(Inactive)
Tomlinson J.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Accrington: Bauress J.
(Inactive)
Grant C.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W.
(Inactive)
Ekpiteta M.
(Inactive)
Gilbey A.
(Inactive)
Maguire L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Accrington Stanley has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Accrington Stanley?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
20.09.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
1:2
04.03.2025
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
2:0
22.10.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
10.02.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Accrington Stanley
2:1
21.10.2023
Accrington Stanley
-
Milton Keynes Dons
1:0
Latest results of Accrington Stanley
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley ✔ | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
| 2 | MK Dons ✔ | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One
