Unión Magdalena vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/09/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Sierra Nevada (Santa Marta).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.34
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
81% (251/310)	83% (345/418)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.61	0.77
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
0	5
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
21	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
81% (251/310)	83% (345/418)
Long passes
49% (23/47)	51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
62% (49/79)	78% (90/116)
Crosses
33% (4/12)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.05	1.73
Throw-ins
10	12
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
58% (7/12)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
42	51
Clearances
15	14
Interceptions
15	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.77	0.61
Goals prevented
-1.23	-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Morelos A. 🟨,
26', Ortiz D. 🟨,
31', Ortiz D. ↓, Murillo D. ↑,
32', Marquez R. 🟨,
40', Congo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Cardona E. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Cardona E. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
55', Campuzano J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Marquez R. ⚽, Sarmiento J. (A),
64', Moreno M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
64', Congo J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
79', Sarmiento A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
82', Iguaran C. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
82', Sarmiento J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
84', Bauza J. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
86', Rengifo J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Roman A. ⚽, Rengifo J. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3mwwwz67

Chances of winning

Unión Magdalena
15.6%

Draw
25.4%

Atlético Nacional
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

26%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

25.5%

58.4%

Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (5.62)	3.69 ↑ (3.61)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)	6.6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 45% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Unión Magdalena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Magdalena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Unión Magdalena won against Atlético Nacional?

Unión Magdalena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Unión Magdalena?

Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

05.04.2025 Atlético Nacional - Unión Magdalena 1:0

07.10.2023 Unión Magdalena - Atlético Nacional 2:1

Latest results of Unión Magdalena

14.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Unión Magdalena 2:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Unión Magdalena - Junior Barranquilla 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Boyacá Chicó - Unión Magdalena 1:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Unión Magdalena - Alianza Valledupar 2:3 ✺

20.08.2025 Millonarios - Unión Magdalena 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

13.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

07.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 3:3 ✺

03.09.2025 Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Envigado 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Quindío 4:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Chico	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Ind. Medellin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	America De Cali	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Santa Fe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Inter Bogotu00e1	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Dep. Cali	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Atl. Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Bucaramanga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Cucuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Dep. Pasto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Deportes Tolima	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Junior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Millonarios	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Once Caldas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Pereira	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Aguilas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Alianza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Fortaleza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Llaneros	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Jaguares de Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )