Result
1:2
28/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Pereira N. ⚽, Rai Nascimento (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Batista J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 59', Firmino H. ↓, Marques P. ↑,
- 59', Barbosa D. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 61', Sampaio T. ↓, Ze Oliveira ↑,
- 61', Carlos Daniel ↓, Davis SIlva ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Pereira N. ⚽,
- 67', Teixeira T. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
- 71', Pereira N. ↓, Ca L. ↑,
- 78', Cardoso F. ↓, Leal J. ↑,
- 78', Breno ↓, Goncalves R. ↑,
- 81', Rai Nascimento ↓, Campas T. ↑,
- 81', Valente R. ↓, Erick Gabriel ↑,
- 90+3', Braga V. 🟨,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fafe
27.5% | Draw
29.3% | São João de Ver
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fafe's form might have worsened.São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São João de Ver's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+23.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fafe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-19.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São João de Ver, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fafe - São João de Ver Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.38 ↑
(1.84) |
3.17 ↓
(3.52) |
2.15 ↓
(3.78) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fafe - São João de Ver?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). São João de Ver will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - São João de Ver (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. São João de Ver (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 3.
- Fafe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- São João de Ver is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Fafe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fafe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Fafe won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fafe won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Fafe won against São João de Ver?
Fafe has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São João de Ver won against Fafe?
São João de Ver has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fafe - São João de Ver were as follows:
21.02.2026
São João de Ver
-
Fafe
1:0
10.01.2026
São João de Ver
-
Fafe
0:4
05.10.2025
Fafe
-
São João de Ver
2:0
11.01.2025
São João de Ver
-
Fafe
4:1
28.09.2024
Fafe
-
São João de Ver
2:1
Latest results of São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Mafra | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 6 | Varzim | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
