Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.51
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)73% (107/147)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.74
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.510.95
Goals prevented
0.51-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bartlett J. , Davis J. ,
  • 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
  • 68', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 68', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 69', Leibold T. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 69', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 69', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
  • 74', Davis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 78', Pereira da Costa D. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Munoz S. ,
  • 84', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
57.9%
Draw
21.7%
Sporting Kansas City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 25% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.95)
    4.42
    (3.86)
    4.67
    (3.58)
    4.9%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Portland (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Portland Timbers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
    • Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Chara D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) Jura S. (Injury) Ondo C. (Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Shelton K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4
    25.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 3:3
    28.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 4:1
    27.02.2023 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)