Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaTSN 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.51
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)73% (107/147)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.74
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.510.95
Goals prevented
0.51-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bartlett J. , Davis J. ,
  • 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
  • 68', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 68', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 69', Leibold T. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 69', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 69', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
  • 74', Davis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 78', Pereira da Costa D. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Munoz S. ,
  • 84', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
57.9%
Draw
21.7%
Sporting Kansas City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 25% 26.9%

Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.64
(1.95)
4.42
(3.86)
4.67
(3.58)
4.9%
(5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Portland (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
    • Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Chara D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) Jura S. (Injury) Ondo C. (Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Shelton K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4
    25.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 3:3
    28.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 4:1
    27.02.2023 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5FC CincinnatiBye
    6ByeColumbus Crew
    7Inter MiamiBye
    8ByeNashville SC
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    14ByeFC Dallas
    15Los Angeles FCBye
    16ByeAustin FC

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire2 : 0
    2CharlotteNew York City1 : 2
    3FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew2 : 1
    4Inter MiamiNashville SC2 : 1
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers2 : 1
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders2 : 1
    7Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas2 : 0
    8Los Angeles FCAustin FC2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionNew York City
    2FC CincinnatiInter Miami
    3San Diego FCMinnesota United
    4Vancouver WhitecapsLos Angeles FC

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2