Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City
Result
1:0
10/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.51
Total shots
811
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
2323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (460/535)85% (482/565)
Long passes
42% (24/57)63% (29/46)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)73% (107/147)
Crosses
31% (5/16)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.230.74
Throw-ins
712
Fouls
1313
Tackles
73% (11/15)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.510.95
Goals prevented
0.51-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Moreno S. , Pereira da Costa D. (A), Antony (A2)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bartlett J. , Davis J. ,
  • 67', Bravo C. 🟨,
  • 68', Mora F. , Kelsy K. ,
  • 68', Ayala D. , Paredes C. ,
  • 69', Leibold T. , Bassong Z. ,
  • 69', Brody A. , Shelton K. ,
  • 69', Salloi D. , Thommy E. ,
  • 73', Suleymanov S. 🟨,
  • 74', Davis J. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno S. , Fernandez O. ,
  • 78', Pereira da Costa D. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 81', Suleymanov S. , Munoz S. ,
  • 84', Mosquera J. , Miller E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
57.9%
Draw
21.7%
Sporting Kansas City
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.7% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 25% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Kansas City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Kansas City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.95)
    4.42
    (3.86)
    4.67
    (3.58)
    4.9%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Portland (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland won 3.
    • Portland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Kansas City has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Portland is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Chara D. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Fory J. (Leg Injury) Jura S. (Injury) Ondo C. (Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kansas City: Fernandez J. (Muscle Injury) Shelton K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portland won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 2:4
    25.05.2024 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 2:1
    07.04.2024 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 3:3
    28.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers 4:1
    27.02.2023 Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City 1:0
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC21123644:291539
    2Vancouver Whitecaps20115435:221338
    3Minnesota United21107435:241137
    4Portland Timbers2096530:28233
    5Seattle Sounders2086628:26230
    6Los Angeles FC1885533:24929
    7San Jose Earthquakes2177741:33828
    8Houston Dynamo2175929:34-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Colorado Rapids22751024:33-926
    11Sporting Kansas City21651033:38-523
    12Real Salt Lake20641022:28-622
    13FC Dallas2056927:37-1021
    14St. Louis City21361221:34-1315
    15Los Angeles Galaxy21261322:42-2012


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati21133533:27642
    2Nashville SC21125437:231441
    3Philadelphia Union21124535:211440
    4Columbus Crew21108334:27738
    5Inter Miami18105342:291335
    6Orlando City2197539:281134
    7New York City2094727:22531
    8New York Red Bulls2186733:25830
    9Chicago Fire2084839:36328
    10Charlotte21821134:36-226
    11New England Revolution2066826:25124
    12DC United21471017:39-2219
    13Atlanta Utd20461022:37-1518
    14Toronto FC20451123:28-517
    15CF Montreal21351318:40-2214

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Portland Timbers - Sporting Kansas City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaTSN 5
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
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