Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (396/479) | 79% (311/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (396/479) | 79% (311/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (18/45) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (111/147) | 67% (82/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Clemente M. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
- 39', Gerold J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 45+3', Tchamba B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tchamba B. ↓, Bekili P. ↑,
- 52', Bekili P. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 0, Jackson Kenio (Pen),
- 59', Baravykas R. 🟨,
- 63', Rascevskis O. 🟨,
- 68', Paulo Eduardo 🟨,
- 83', Daskevics E. ↓, Rubenis O. ↑,
- 90+2', Melniks D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ogunji A. ↓, Novikovs J. ↑,
- 90+4', Traore A. ↓, Diawara B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Auda Riga
64.4% | Draw
20.4% | Grobiņa
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auda Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Grobiņa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Auda Riga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Auda Riga - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.34) |
4.5
(4.5) |
6.06 ↓
(7.32) |
8.8%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auda won 4.
- Auda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grobiņa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Grobiņa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grobiņa has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Auda is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Auda won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Auda won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Grobiņa?
Auda Riga has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against Auda Riga?
Grobiņa has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Auda Riga - Grobiņa were as follows:
06.08.2025
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
1:0
18.06.2025
Grobiņa
-
Auda Riga
1:2
24.04.2025
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
2:0
22.09.2024
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
2:0
02.07.2024
Auda Riga
-
Grobiņa
0:1
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
