Result
01/05/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4, Virsliga Plus |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Chances of winning
Super Nova
22.1% | Draw
26.3% | Auda Riga
51.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Super Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Super Nova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Super Nova - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.8) |
3.47 ↑
(3.45) |
1.77 ↓
(1.85) |
9.4%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 0.
- Super Nova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Auda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Auda is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Super Nova won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:44. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Super Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Super Nova won against Auda Riga?
Super Nova has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Super Nova?
Auda Riga has won 9 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Super Nova - Auda Riga were as follows:
08.03.2026
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
2:1
22.09.2025
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
3:2
18.08.2025
Auda Riga
-
Super Nova
3:1
01.07.2025
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
0:1
11.05.2025
Super Nova
-
Auda Riga
1:1
Latest results of Super Nova
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:12 | 20 | 20 |
| 3 | Auda | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Super Nova | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 9 |
| 8 | Jelgava | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 8 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
