Sporting Kansas City II vs Ventura County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
89% (476/535)85% (366/429)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.521.72
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
3017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
95
Passes
89% (476/535)85% (366/429)
Long passes
58% (15/26)49% (28/57)
Passes in final third
84% (141/168)73% (104/142)
Crosses
27% (4/15)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.681.12
Throw-ins
1521
Fouls
59
Tackles
73% (8/11)78% (7/9)
Duels won
2817
Clearances
1918
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.720.52
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', Bucknor J. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Karani S. , Bucknor J. (A), Sullivan N. (A2)
  • 45', 1 - 1, Goumballe M. , Uderitz H. (A),
  • 45+1', Derksen C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ortiz J. , Alexandre M. ,
  • 46', Wantland Z. , Samways A. ,
  • 58', Bucknor J. , Vivi Quesada G. ,
  • 64', Uderitz H. , Clarke N. ,
  • 70', Middleby M. , Martinez E. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Vivi Quesada G. , Karani S. (A),
  • 73', Derksen C. , Loyo Reynaga Z. ,
  • 79', Quintero G. , Uderitz B. ,
  • 89', Karani S. , Saribekyan L. ,
  • 89', Tsakiris M. , Arnold G. ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Kansas City II
31.5%
Draw
23.7%
Ventura County
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.6% 22.9% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 22.3% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Kansas City II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.58)
    3.92
    (4.01)
    2.08
    (2.21)
    7.6%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Sporting KC II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ventura County is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sporting KC II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sporting KC II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Ventura County - Sporting Kansas City II 1:1
    24.03.2024 Sporting Kansas City II - Ventura County 1:3
    Latest results of Ventura County
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    2Connecticut FC110003:13
    3Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    4New England Revolution II101001:12
    5New York City II000000:00
    6Toronto FC II100010:10
    7Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    8Cincinnati 2100011:30


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2Huntsville110003:13
    3Chicago Fire II101001:12
    4Atlanta United 2100101:11
    5Inter Miami II100101:11
    6Carolina Core000000:00
    7Orlando City B100011:30
    8Chattanooga100011:40


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County110004:23
    2Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    3Real Monarchs101002:22
    4Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    5Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    6San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Minnesota 2110004:23
    3Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    4North Texas100102:21
    5Austin FC II100012:40
    6Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    7Sporting Kansas City II100010:40


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy110004:13
    2New York Red Bulls II110004:23
    3Huntsville110003:13
    4Connecticut FC110003:13
    5Philadelphia Union II110001:03
    6Chicago Fire II101001:12
    7New England Revolution II101001:12
    8Atlanta United 2100101:11
    9Inter Miami II100101:11
    10New York City II000000:00
    11Carolina Core000000:00
    12Toronto FC II100010:10
    13Columbus Crew 2100012:40
    14Orlando City B100011:30
    15Cincinnati 2100011:30
    16Chattanooga100011:40


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2110004:03
    2Ventura County110004:23
    3Minnesota 2110004:23
    4Houston Dynamo 2110002:03
    5Portland Timbers 2110002:13
    6Real Monarchs101002:22
    7Los Angeles FC 2101002:22
    8Tacoma Defiance100102:21
    9North Texas100102:21
    10San Jose Earthquakes II100011:20
    11Vancouver Whitecaps 2100012:40
    12Austin FC II100012:40
    13Colorado Rapids 2100010:20
    14Sporting Kansas City II100010:40

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