Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        19/05/2024 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 14
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
 - 5', 1 - 0, Valente M. ⚽, 
 - 8', 1 - 1, Harramiz S. ⚽, 
 - 16', Ze Oliveira ↓, Cesinha ↑, 
 - 44', Cesinha 🟥, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 1)
 - 46', Varela J. ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑, 
 - 47', 1 - 2, Luiz Miguel ⚽, 
 - 52', 2 - 2, Goba ⚽, 
 - 56', Martins D. 🟨, 
 - 61', Abreu E. ↓, Pereira D. ↑, 
 - 61', Rosado D. ↓, Silva Nhaga I. ↑, 
 - 64', Harramiz S. ↓, Costa J. ↑, 
 - 72', Pereira D. 🟨, 
 - 76', Nem Jefferson ↓, Ribeiro S. ↑, 
 - 82', Lytvyn D. 🟨, 
 - 84', Borges M. ↓, Fortes F. ↑, 
 - 89', Hidalgo N. ↓, Dias J. ↑, 
 - 90', 3 - 2, Fortes F. ⚽, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Lusitânia  50.4% | Draw  26% | Alverca  23.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Lusitânia - Alverca Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.82 ↓ (1.97) | 
			   3.53 ↑ (3.41) | 
			   3.9 ↑ (3.69) | 
			   8.8% (7.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Alverca?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alverca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2). 
 - Alverca is Qualified for Liga Portugal 2 
 - Lusitânia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Alverca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
 - Lusitânia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.
 - Last 1 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Alverca?
                    
                    
                        
                            Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Lusitânia?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Alverca were as follows:
                                                        
                                31.03.2024 
                                Alverca 
                                - 
                                Lusitânia 
                                3:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Lusitânia                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alverca                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 | 
| 2 | Braga B | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 15 | 
| 3 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 | 
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 | 
| 5 | AD Fafe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 | 
| 6 | Amarante | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 | 
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | 
| 9 | AD Marco 09 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 8 | 
Group B |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mafra | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 | 
| 2 | Caldas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 18 | 
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 | 
| 4 | Academica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 | 
| 5 | Amora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | 
| 6 | Santarem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Atletico CP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 7 | 
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