Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Brazao M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV, Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Rocha L. (Own goal),
- 32', Berna 🟨,
- 39', Parente T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Tiago Dias ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 57', Parente T. 🟨,
- 60', Leite T. ↓, Santos Teixeira L. ↑,
- 65', Teixeira M. ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 68', Mesquita T. 🟨,
- 70', Berna ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 70', Mesquita T. ↓, Danny ↑,
- 71', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 1, Santos Teixeira L. (Own goal),
- 78', Santos Teixeira L. 🟨,
- 87', Tokinho Doria ↓, Mimito ↑,
- 87', Rocha L. ↓, Cerveira T. ↑,
- 89', Silva A. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Arsenio ⚽,
- 90+5', Dario ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
28.6% | Draw
30.4% | Felgueiras
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitânia's form might have worsened.Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lusitânia - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(2.66) |
3.03 ↓
(3.08) |
2.27 ↓
(2.71) |
8.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Felgueiras?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 68.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 8 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Lusitânia (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lusitânia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Felgueiras?
Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Lusitânia?
Felgueiras has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Felgueiras were as follows:
30.08.2025
Felgueiras
-
Lusitânia
3:1
28.04.2024
Felgueiras
-
Lusitânia
2:0
02.03.2024
Lusitânia
-
Felgueiras
1:0
05.11.2023
Felgueiras
-
Lusitânia
2:1
08.08.2023
Lusitânia
-
Felgueiras
0:0
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 42 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
