University College Dublin vs Longford Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Division 1 University College Dublin - Longford Town
Result
2:1
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
155
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
81
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Doyle J. ,
  • 32', Doran A. 🟨,
  • 44', Dignam L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', Mohan S. , McCullagh M. ,
  • 55', Dignam L. , Behan C. ,
  • 55', Finn R. , McManus B. ,
  • 60', Topcu E. , Ugbesia S. ,
  • 61', James E. , Murtagh D. ,
  • 61', Norris D. , George D. ,
  • 67', Hand O. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Behan C. ,
  • 78', Brennan A. , Raggett M. ,
  • 78', O'Shea D. , Egan J. ,
  • 90', Clancy E. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, Murtagh D. ,
  • 90+3', O'Brien A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


University College Dublin
67.2%
Draw
20.4%
Longford Town
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 23.4% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 22.2% 17.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • University College Dublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in University College Dublin's performance.
  • Longford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Longford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for University College Dublin than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with University College Dublin that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Longford Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Longford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • University College Dublin - Longford Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.6)
    4.82
    (3.96)
    7.93
    (4.94)
    1.8%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for University College Dublin - Longford Town?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. UCD will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCD won 3.
    • UCD is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Longford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, UCD is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, UCD won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UCD won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between University College Dublin - Longford Town were as follows:
    09.05.2025 University College Dublin - Longford Town 1:1
    12.04.2025 Longford Town - University College Dublin 0:1
    18.10.2024 University College Dublin - Longford Town 2:2
    27.07.2024 Longford Town - University College Dublin 1:2
    03.05.2024 University College Dublin - Longford Town 1:0
    Latest results of Longford Town
    Irish Division 1 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dundalk31209263:243969
    2Cobh Ramblers31196659:283163
    3Bray311821153:431056
    4UC Dublin311471037:31649
    5Treaty United311081342:42038
    6Finn Harps298111034:37-335
    7Wexford30881432:42-1032
    8Kerry29861534:47-1330
    9Longford31791531:54-2330
    10Athlone30381922:59-3717

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