Result
2:1
28/05/2024 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 3 |
 Germany | Sport 1+ |
 Netherlands | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 94 | 110 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 34 | 39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Ramirez G. 🟨,
- 27', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 30', Ibarra F. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Fernandez L. ⚽, Milans P. (A),
- 39', Fernandez L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ramirez G. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
- 58', Milans P. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Modica A. ⚽,
- 70', Sequeira L. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 72', Ortiz K. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 77', Darias E. 🟨,
- 77', Darias E. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 83', Campaz J. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
- 83', Malcorra I. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Fernandez L. ⚽, Cabrera J. (A),
- 88', Aguerre W. 🟨,
- 89', Quintana C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Modica A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
46.7% | Draw
29.5% | Rosario Central
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.19) |
3.18 ↑
(3.04) |
3.96 ↑
(3.56) |
6.2%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). Rosario will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 60.7% – 93.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Peñarol in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Recent matches Rosario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Rosario Central?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Rosario Central has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Rosario Central were as follows:
04.04.2024
Rosario Central
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Rosario Central
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
| 4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
