Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 9
- Referee: Patchell A. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 26% | 74% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (159/242) | 89% (610/686) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 44 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (159/242) | 89% (610/686) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (30/65) | 53% (30/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (25/50) | 76% (151/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 22% (9/41) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.28 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 94% (16/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Asamoah M. 🟨,
- 27', McLaughlin E. 🟨,
- 38', Stevens E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Long K. 🟨,
- 60', Asamoah M. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
- 61', McGovern J. ↓, Noonan M. ↑,
- 61', Greene A. ↓, Burke G. ↑,
- 64', Long K. ↓, Cann H. ↑,
- 64', Faria J. ↓, Voilas J. ↑,
- 65', McLaughlin E. ↓, Heeney L. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Amond P. ⚽, Voilas J. (A),
- 76', Coyle T. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
- 76', Malley C. ↓, Razi N. ↑,
- 76', Stevens E. ↓, O'Sullivan C. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Burke G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90', Noonan C. ↓, Mansfield R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Waterford
14.7% | Draw
21.9% | Shamrock Rovers
63.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Waterford - Shamrock Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.37 ↑
(5.9) |
4.28 ↑
(4.23) |
1.46 ↓
(1.5) |
7.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford - Shamrock Rovers?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.
- Waterford has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Shamrock is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D.
(Injury)
Gaffney R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mandroiu D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
Johnson W.
(Inactive)
Long K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Watts D.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Shamrock will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 16:49. (average 0.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.8:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Shamrock Rovers?
Waterford has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Waterford?
Shamrock Rovers has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
22.09.2025
Waterford
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
27.06.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford
0:0
16.05.2025
Waterford
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:3
11.04.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford
2:0
01.11.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford
2:1
Latest results of Waterford
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 20:15 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Galway | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Derry City | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 8 |
| 10 | Waterford | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
