Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 13
- Referee: Norton P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (183/289) | 70% (254/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (183/289) | 70% (254/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/75) | 28% (18/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (52/92) | 65% (122/188) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 14% (6/44) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Houston J. 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Brouder K. ⚽, Hurley D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Barrett C. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 46', Heeney L. ↓, McLaughlin E. ↑,
- 64', Glenfield S. ↓, Noonan C. ↑,
- 65', Houston J. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 65', Carty C. ↓, Lonergan T. ↑,
- 76', Twardek K. ↓, Keohane J. ↑,
- 76', McCarthy E. ↓, Lomboto F. ↑,
- 76', Walsh S. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
- 83', Hurley D. 🟨,
- 84', Wolfe M. ↓, Williams W. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, McMenamy D. ⚽, Long K. (A),
Chances of winning
Waterford 29.5% | Draw 28.1% | Galway United 42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Galway United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galway United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Waterford - Galway United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.16 ↑ (3.09) |
3.32 ↓ (3.41) |
2.21 ↓ (2.27) |
7.2% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Waterford - Galway United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Galway United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 2.
- Waterford has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Galway United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Galway United will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Galway United: McGuinness D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waterford: Armstrong F.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford won against Galway United?
Waterford has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Galway United won against Waterford?
Galway United has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford - Galway United were as follows:
16.03.2026
Galway United
-
Waterford
4:3
01.11.2025
Waterford
-
Galway United
1:1
25.07.2025
Galway United
-
Waterford
2:4
09.05.2025
Waterford
-
Galway United
1:0
14.03.2025
Galway United
-
Waterford
1:0
Latest results of Waterford
Latest results of Galway United
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Derry City | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Galway | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:18 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Waterford | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1